July 2050 weather forecast based on UK Climate Projections

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This weather forecast has been developed using UK Climate Predictions (UKCP18) and provides examples of plausible weather in the UK and other parts of the world. The forecast is followed by an explanation of the science behind the predictions.

Met Office - Science and Services

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Got to 40 this year. So God knows what it will be like in 2050

BlackRose-viyg

Presenter hasn't aged at all! I would love to look like him when I'm 60. :)

kierandallas

We didnt have to wait until 2050 to reach 40oC+ ....July 2022....☹

rowp

“Thankfully, it is not a real forecast.” Not only this scenario is plausible with RCP2.6 and especially RCP4.5, but it is also almost equal to the one the UK expects this weekend and at the very beginning of next week! And more shockingly even dates are matching. Dear Brits, stay safe during this incessant heat!

nedimsladic

This shows how actual climate change is so much worse than our projections. We are already having these 40+ temperatures today and tomorrow in much of England, 28 years ahead of schedule. This is a climate emergency, and lack of action to prevent it from worsening is a crime against humanity.

Vivek-zwex

Climate change is happening even faster than what current estimates predict: We reached 40C 30 years ahead of schedule. We'll more than likely reach it again in the next couple of years, and honestly, by 2050, I don't see any way how 43C won't have been reached several times. Who knows what the record will be by then. I fear that a 40C high and 30+C for weeks on end in July or August will be the norm rather than the exception by 2050. Summer 2022 was a glimpse into what a normal, perhaps even mild British summer looks like in 2050. Our land is going to go up in flames while our leaders sit back and do nothing about it. Stuff your poxy carbon neutral by 2050, it's too late for that now, it's already happening.

cryoraptoratm

40c widely across England and 35 widely across the British Isles in July 2022. Driest 8 month period since 1911 and average temperatures reached 30c in 2022 for the first time ever. Wildfires occurred across England. This forecast could have been for July 2022🔥 May and June 2022 were cooler than usual though.

kirkykirkle

don't worry they can't get next week right lol

paulkenney

Maybe a 50 year forcast is pushing it considering a 24 hour forcast is rarely correct

Michael.OJackson

We hit 40C in 2022 and reports are saying 2023 will be hotter. So by 2050 it will be much hotter then this forecast suggests.

dannygriffiths

56 year old me will be feeling the heat

Ross_Milton

The fact that this really shows that London had hit the 40° mark in july 2022 scares me

lver_alx

This is almost identical to how the forecast is for monday and tuesday...even the weather pattern is similar...

michaelespeland

It would be interesting for you to do a forecast for today based on climate projections from 30 years ago so we can see how accurate/inaccurate these models actually are.

MebXVII

I think it would have been really interesting to have shown how the heatwave would likely break - with severe thunderstorms. This heat and rain is projected for the future by convection-permitting models and would make this story even more real. You could do the same for the winter with large storm events, wide-spread flooding etc. It would also be nice at the end to talk about the changes to extreme temperatures rather than the mean as I always think the message gets a bit lost there - it's about the persistence and frequency of these extremes (not the average change). But it's a great and realistic narrative about the future.

hayleyfowler