Poker Math Every Player Needs to Know

GTO Wizard helps you to learn GTO and analyze your game.

Tombos21 delves into the fundamental poker math every player should know! Learn why every poker metric is secretly a risk-reward formula in disguise.

🧙‍♂️GTO Wizard
• Study any spot imaginable
• Practice by playing vs. GTO
• Analyze your hands with 1-click
• Works on Desktop/Mobile/Tablet

Poker Math Every Player Needs to Know:

0:00 Intro
2:20 Building Intuition
4:53 Risk & Reward
6:45 Pot Odds
9:52 Value-To-Bluff Ratio
11:21 Alpha
13:35 MDF
14:51 Putting It All Together
18:15 GTO Wizard Example
21:43 Calculating Edges
27:40 Summary

#GTOWizard #GTO #poker

[GTOWizard]

Did you learn something new? What would you like to see Tombos21 cover next?

[kelvinlee]

This is a comprehensive video on the science behind poker. Mastering both science and art is what makes any poker player greater than having only one, good job

[AtGame]

For the first question I need more information? Am I holding Kings? If I'm holding Kings the correct answer is the flop will contain an Ace 100% of the time. Fact.

[sentimenta]

cool video and all but i think i'll stick to flopping royal flushes every hand

[SpaceFortunaa]

Poker is as much a game of skill as it is about reading people. One of the key concepts to master is understanding pot odds—the ratio of the current size of the pot to the cost of a contemplated call. Knowing your pot odds helps you make better decisions about whether to call, raise, or fold based on the likelihood of completing your hand.

For example, if you're on a flush draw (needing one more card to complete your flush) and the pot is offering you odds that match or exceed your chances of hitting that flush, it might be worth continuing in the hand. However, if the pot odds are low compared to your chances of making the hand, it’s usually better to fold.

Mastering pot odds, along with reading your opponents’ tendencies and controlling your emotions, can significantly increase your chances of long-term success in poker.

[fisher]

>start watching the video as a beginner
>10 seconds in: "what do these 5 things I've never heard about have in common"
>bruh 💀

[raijin]

Do you have a longer video on how to apply the math to your strategy? Kind of how you touched on the BB changing strategy based on value-to-bluff ratio at 11:06

[josyvan]

I love how in 21:28 "% of hero calling after raise" just ties in perfectly with you guys' True MDF video lol where we defend more than MDF suggests vs a raise
suddenly the pieces of the puzzle fall into place ✅

[HaerinAU]

20:18 Can I say that we use MDF when having medium-strength hands and use outs vs pot odds when we have strong draws?

[Ohrami]

Bunching could make A-high flops in effect <20% likely. Just like 222 is more likely than AAA, A-high flops are less likely than flops with a lower high-card relative to the normal probability disregarding bunching.

[rileygibbs]

I must be the first person watching this video! I should go play poker with all this run good.

[FlexxXlife]

Man thanks a lot for this ! this is very good material

[kylebennett]

Can someone explain to me the flopping an ace bit? I don't understand how flopping an ace would be so much more likely than flopping a 6 or jack. It just seems like simple math that any card is just as likely as any other

[lvzee]

Perhaps it is a technical quibble but if someone overfolds or over bluffs by 10% their frequency doesn’t go from 33% to 43% but to 36.3%. 10% of 33%. Imagine a limit game where the river bet is 10% of pot. The bettor should bluff about 8% of the time. If he underbluffs by 10% he only bluffs 7% not the impossible negative 2%

[hectorlopez]

Here I was just expecting a 4X, 2x outs calculation vid and got a intro to stats class.

[Alexandertygreat]

I shared this exact same theory of raising over calling in these exact same spots back when i was purely a pro poker player in 2009 and all the other pros at the time thought i was insane and just plain wrong. Didnt stop me from using it and crushing though. Especially in mtts, i made every online major Final table on every major site and won a ton of MTTs

[shrankai]

18:10 with a 33% pot odds, and a 37.5% defending percentage, how does that work? Does that mean that 37.5% of SB's hands have a 1/3 chance of winning against BB's raise? Do you start calling once you reach the 33% win chance with your hand, or do you call with worse hands to protect against BB's bluffs?

[JakGruen]

Please help,
I'm crazy confused by the calculations at about 25:38
How is EV Bluff Raise = Edge (Risk+Reward)?
Wouldn't that mean that the more I risk, the better my EV? So if I raise to 1000 pots, it's EV Bluff Raise = 100.2 pots?
I can't make sense out of it. It seems way more profitable to just call, because I put less risk into the same amount of possible profit.
So what's off with my thinking here? Where am I going wrong with my logic?

[ErnestBaillie-hi]

Thank you very much for sharing your experience and knowledge about trading.

[DJDonkeytron]

Patrik Antonious is definitely not thinking about any of this beyond pot odds vs hand odds. Good video except over complicating the easiest part to understand (pot odds)