Does Strong GDP Data Suggest the Recession is Cancelled ??

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Does Strong GDP Data Suggest the Recession is Cancelled ??
Weekend deep dive
Unemployment data
Recession coming?
Inflation over / rate cuts

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England
UK

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camelfinance
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As long as everyone is talking about recession and crashes markets will go up. When the tune switches to recession avoided and soft landing it’s time to sell as usual…

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In my opinion you are better off missing out on the top than over commiting and losing when the crash comes.
Obviously everyone has to make their own decision on this but I'm running for the hills.

reallymakesyouthink
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the time to listen to camel is while showering!!

usujjwals
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More yield curve coverage, please. Its on the razor edge of un-inversion

drwayne_carter
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BTC price will start soaring when I sell it. Best prediction

RatFace_MonkeyEar_FishEye
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Monthly candle looks.... Ominous.

The way I see it:

If they cut rates hard, new ATH for BTC then bear market until last year of this cycle.

If they cut rates soft, new ATH but it'll take longer to get there.

If they don't cut the rates at all, continuation of the current down trend.

Wigalot
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Isn’t GDP just propped up by the massive spending from the government?

Josh-zqpq
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Hope your enjoying ur well deserved weekend with the missus 😊

leecable
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short week this week so will be interesting!

MarketChef
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Nice work camel! Still trying to become level 3 member 😅 haha

eocbtjs
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The calculation therein the recession is if but not when. How much longer can they keep hiding the commercial real estate mortgage based securities and flood market with cheap capital? I say may only 1 more year from now tops.

roberttuzzolo
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nono, you dont cancel recess, it cancels you. 40k btc inc in september.

UniDeathRaven
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I will never go in so hard on altcoins 😬 but i am confident that they will perform at least okay so that i am in profit. But i think that your right that this alt season will not be as crazy as the last one. But next cycle there will be only Bitcoin for m.

kilianb
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Camel do you think its sensible to manage the risk by only using position size?
The broker I'm using doesn't allow to manually change the leverage level so I began to wonder

kaaoi
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Markets are not over, Camel did not pop a cork.. long & strong!

grantpalmer
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mate I was just think same thing, take a look at DJT transports above the 200 MA and wedging higher and BOAT etf, freight is climbing, Panama just recorded the most volume thru the panama canal. the YOLO economy is humming until it breaks, start to worry when they STOP talking about recession. too many on 1 side of the boat. cheers

alexlinenslaundry
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This isn’t a Q&A but I was wondering about what you think about the Supply in unrealized Profit/Loss % Correlation as an indicator for Buying & Selling especially if it aligns with weekly Cycle Low/Highs

Germaninvestor
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Important to consider Camel - Only 2 of the past 14 interest rate cuts actually led to a market crash. Rest of them continued the bull market for another 12 months. This might be an important data point to consider. I even added 1929.

S&P500 returns 12 months after rate cut:
July 2019: 8.7%
Sep 2008: -17.6%
Jan 2001: -13%
Jul 1995: 21.1%
Jun 1989: 11.4%
Nov 1984: 20.4%
May 1980: 20.3
Dec 1974: 33.5%
Nov 1970: 13.3%
Apr 1967: 4.6%
June 1960: 15%
Nov 1957: 31.2%
Feb 1954: 35.1%
Nov 1929: 3.3%

rhue
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Still think ADA is going to $1 within 2-3 weeks...

Snekbeard