What If Germany and Russia went to War (Who Wins?)

The last time Germany and Russia faced off, it ended in devastation—Berlin reduced to rubble, the Third Reich crushed by Soviet tanks. But what if these two powers clashed today, in a world of drones, cyber warfare, hypersonic missiles, and satellite surveillance? In this video, we analyze a hypothetical war between Germany and Russia, bypassing NATO, and wargame how such a conflict might unfold. From military strength to strategy, explore who might emerge victorious.

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[TheMilitaryShow]

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[premaider]

Why are you calculating with 10k+ Tanks on russian side when over 2/3 of them already have been destroyed in Ukraine (by 1% of the yearly NATO-Budget)? Use up-to-date Numbers

[foobar]

First of all: Germany cannot attack Russia. Germany doesn't have an offensive army, the Bundeswehr is a purely defensive force. The german constitution completely forbids attacking other countries.(Article 26 of the Grundgesetz) So the only way Russia and Germany can get into war is by Russia attacking Germany - and then article 5 of the NATO comes into play.

[Finn_Fuenffarbflecktarn]

6:19 Correction: Germany has about 900.000 Reservists. The 34.000 are the active component of the Reserve (“Aktive Reserve”; sort of like the national Guard in America) that train regularly and can be on duty for up to 10 months a year. But the majority of reservists is part of the “Allgemeine Reserve”, the non-active component, which usually trains only once or twice a year (or not at all, since it’s not mandatory), but would still be mobilized in case of war.

[toni]

I am no expert, but If this war would Last over 3 Months the German manufacturing capabilities would come into Play...

[lindakleiner]

Hubby is German, he said “ we don’t have a Motherland, unlike Mother Russia. We have a Fatherland”

[AlexHanna.esquire]

Russia didn’t win last time. They got smashed in months. It was US aid that gave them a chance. By the end of the conflict the kill ratio was 200 to one. 20 to one with the US/UK. Germany was a difficult opponent to conquer. In fact they basically beat themselves with some major mistakes. If history wants to be accurate, it was actually a close fight, very difficult. Yes I’m qualified, uniquely so, I had relatives on both sides. Not distant but actual grandfather and his brother on the German side.

[RaynaHelmer-vrev]

If Russia is so strong, why they are loosing the war to Ukraine?

[jurgenpommerenke]

Germany has 25x the GDP of Ukraine. Need just some time for preparing.

[DERJNA_]

DIESE KOMMENTARSEKTION IST NUN EIGENTUM DER BUNDESREPUBLIK DEUTSCHLAND 🇩🇪🇩🇪🇩🇪🇩🇪🇩🇪

[Jordinho]

It is not only Germany, but whole Europe is comming for the Russians then..

[luchse]

To say that Germany alone would be at war with Russia is stupid, as long as there is a country that is currently at war with Russia. Ukraine would welcome German soldiers with open arms. Not to mention the weapons that Germany would then also give to Ukraine. Russia can't keep up with the German economy and technology, and I also think that even if other NATO states don't take part in the war, Poland, for example, won't tolerate Russia trying to shoot missiles through their country.

[tobiash.]

Sorry this is so out of any possibility. But lets assume this could happen. Germany and it's industrial Power would crash a russian attack.
Russia does not even defeat Ukraine which is a underdeveleped relative poor country comparing to germany.
If germany crank up it's military production force there is hardly a match for them.

[daswolio]

Why are we acting like Russia’s military capabilities haven’t been obliterated in the current war in Ukraine. They have the second strongest military in Ukraine; how will they be able to handle Ukraine AND Germany?

[дежурный]

If Russia were to decide to attack Germany, it would suffer such a humiliating defeat that even the Vatican City would appear like a superpower in comparison.

And no, this is not wishful thinking. Let’s consider some key points:

1. Logistics
It is evident that, with the exception of the Wagner mercenaries, no Russian military unit uses trucks with trailers or even forklifts. When it comes to railway logistics, Russia faces even more limitations. The European rail gauge is narrower than the Russian one. This means that Russia would need to transfer all supplies from Russian to European freight trains starting from Poland—without the aid of modern equipment like forklifts—or lay new tracks entirely. Such logistical challenges would severely hinder the supply chain of an invading army.

2. Experience
While it may appear that Russian soldiers currently have more combat experience, the reality is that the average Russian soldier serves only two years in the military. In contrast, the average German soldier serves for eight years. Furthermore, Germany has a volunteer-based professional army, meaning no one is forced to serve; soldiers join out of conviction. The efficiency and morale of such a force are significantly higher.

3. Weapons and Systems
The weapons and systems used by the German Bundeswehr were designed specifically for combat on European soil and against the Soviet Union. While Russia might have larger numbers of equipment, the quality and effectiveness of Germany's systems are indisputable.
For instance, Ukraine currently operates fewer than 18 HIMARS systems, yet they are so effective that Russian depots are forced to operate far from the front lines. Germany, on the other hand, does not have HIMARS but owns 80 MARS systems, the direct predecessor to HIMARS. These can fire 12 rockets of the same type and two ATACMS simultaneously. Moreover, in the event of a direct war, all of Germany’s currently withheld weaponry would come into play without restriction, including the Taurus cruise missile. There would be no political limitations, allowing strikes on military targets in Moscow or Kaliningrad to be executed if necessary.

4. Topography
Unlike Ukraine, which is largely flat, Germany offers varied geography with numerous mountains and valleys, particularly in the south. Additionally, for Russia to attack Germany via land, it would first have to pass through Poland and the Baltic states. To attack by sea, Russia would need to bypass Finland, Sweden, Poland, Norway, Denmark, and the Baltic nations—each a potential defender or obstacle.

5. Manpower
If Russia were to attack Germany, it would do so with a preassembled army. In Germany, however, there would likely be wartime measures, such as an exit restriction, similar to what Ukraine implemented. This would allow Germany to theoretically mobilize over eight million capable individuals, even if the age range was restricted to 30–55 years.

Conclusion
While Russia might be able to wage a direct war against Germany, it would not be able to win. The defeat would be so devastating for Russia that it would never again even consider building a military in the foreseeable future.

[andethidialbubabibub]

I'm shocked by your underestimation of German logistics, financial power, almost zero corruption and the strong will of our people.
Russia would be fckd

[TheOrigin]

Your number about reservists is just wrong. You mentioned 34k active reservists, but in germany are about 900.000 reservists who can be activated. This includes people who served in the army like 20 years ago but are not active.

[MrGrombie]

5 years ago, this same channel would have been singing the praises of all the military tech the Russians had. 😆

[scott]

Get your math together, count the destroyed pieces in Ukraine and captured

[toddbrackett]

I don’t think that it is appropriate to reference any estimate of Russia having 10, 000 tanks.
Does Russia actually have 10, 000 serviceable tanks after three years of war in Ukraine?
It seems like this estimate doesn’t account for the losses of recent years. The five digit estimate of Russian tanks also seems to include every 60 year old piece of rusting hardware somewhere in Siberia which has not moved since Brezhnev was in office.