Guggenheim's Minerd: Hard to Argue US Not in Recession

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Guggenheim Global CIO Scott Minerd says markets are relieved the Federal Reserve is in the process of pivoting. He speaks on "Bloomberg Markets: The Close."

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In a 1974 The New York Times article, Commissioner of the Bureau of Labor Statistics Julius Shiskin suggested that a rough translation of the bureau's qualitative definition of a recession into a quantitative one that almost anyone can use might run like this:
* In terms of duration — declines in real gross national product (GNP) for two consecutive quarters; a decline in industrial production over a six-month period.
* In terms of depth — A 1.5 per cent decline in real GNP; a 15 per cent decline in non-agricultural employment; a two-point rise in unemployment to a level of at least 6 percent.
* In terms of diffusion — A decline in non-agricultural employment in more than 75 per cent of industries, as measured over six-month spans, for six months or longer

lescobrandon

How much does Guggenheim bench these days?

JohnSmith-bmzg

why has all my business revenue decrease substantially this year?

RealFahimReza

I identify as a “transition” not a “recession” damnit! You must call me a transition! Now where’s that transitory bathroom?

WhiteCollarWarriorWallStFraudE

Powell said he will decide on rate increases meeting by meeting after looking at latest data, and the market hears "rally"

ShoppingWithStyle

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