Expert predicts grim fate for housing market if rates go down

Pulte Capital CEO Bill Pulte discusses the impact of inflation on the housing industry.

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[LoughBellis]

I’m a new dad, I moved to the Bay Area a few years ago and I’m thinking of purchasing a single family home, but with real estate prices currently through the roof, is it still a good idea to buy a home or should I invest in stocks for now and just wait for a housing market correction? I heard Nvidia and AMD are strong buys.

[NicholasBall]

In the early 1990s, when I bought my first home in Miami, first mortgages often came with rates of 8 to 9% and 9% to 10%, which was quite common. It's important to consider that we may never return to 3% rates. If sellers are compelled to sell, home prices may need to decrease, leading to lower valuations. I believe many others share this line of thinking.

[Dantursi]

For boomers and senior citizens, the current market and economy are unnecessarily harder. I'm used to simply purchasing and holding assets, which doesn't seem applicable to the current volatile market, and inflation is catching up with my portfolio. My biggest concern is whether I'll survive after retirement.

[jameswood]

fear a housing crash due to people buying homes above asking prices with little equity. If prices drop, affordability and potential foreclosures may arise, worsened by future layoffs and rising living costs. I want to invest more than $300k, but I'm not sure on how to mitigate risk.

[austinbar]

In the USA, individuals living in cars due to partial homelessness result from a complex interplay of factors. High housing costs relative to income, stagnant wages, and income inequality drive this issue. Job loss, weak social support, medical expenses, evictions, and lack of affordable housing also contribute, while systemic problems and inadequate policies further perpetuate the phenomenon.

[RaymondKeen.]

The fact that there is already an excessive amount of demand awaiting its absorption, despite how everyone is frightened and calling the crash, is another reason why it is less likely to occur that way. 2008 saw no one, at least not the broad public, making this forecast, as I'll explain below. The ownership rate was noted to have peaked in 2004 in the other comment. Having previously peaked in the second quarter of 2020, we are currently at the median level. Between 2008 and 2012, it dropped by 3%, and by the second quarter of 2020, it had dropped from 68 to 65.

[alexsteven.m]

We Are in Unchartered Financial Waters! every day we encounter challenges that have become the new standard. Although we previously perceived it as a crisis, we now acknowledge it as the new normal and must adapt accordingly. Given the current economic difficulties that the country is experiencing how can we enhance our earnings during this period of adjustment? I cannot let my $680, 000 savings vanish after putting in so much effort to accumulate them.

[HugoBergmann-lund]

Because so many people overpaid for homes even while loan rates were low, I believe there will be a housing catastrophe because these people are in debt. If housing costs continue to drop and, for whatever reason, they can no longer afford the property and it goes into foreclosure, they have no equity since, even if they try to sell, they will not make any money. I believe that many individuals will experience this, especially given the impending mass layoffs and rapidly rising living expenses.

[ChristopherAbelman]

Tax code changes taught me to build resilience into my portfolio. Diversification is key! My set manager helped me spread my investments across different asset classes like stocks, bonds, and real estate so that a positive tax code cha age here can help minimize the impact of aa negative tax code change there adjustments.

[biankabrodeur]

I read that Nvidia provides tech for crypto mining services/blockchain transactions. Could the current crypto pump be attributed to Nvidia’s great earnings and should I hold some crypto as well, cos tbh I’m having FOMO with the current crypto price at 64k.

[jerrycampbell-utyf]

If prices drop, affordability and potential foreclosures may arise, worsened by future layoffs and rising living costs. I want to invest more than $300k, but I'm not sure on how to mitigate risk.

[willrose]

Housing is overpriced. Employment numbers are false.

[BrianYamabe]

7% to 6% is going to cause a buying frenzy? Housing started to freeze at 5.5%. People can’t afford the house price. It’s not the extra 1% of interest

[emilo]

It's over for the average middle class family.

[shireecox]

Our children won’t be able to buy a home if housing prices don’t go down.

[Robertgriffinne]

You got valid points though Inflation is dilapidating. Quite sad what's happening in the market. Although, even the worst recessions offer wonderful buying opportunities in the markets if you're cautious. Volatility can also result in excellent short-term buy and sell opportunities. The market circumstances are driving me insane, my portfolio has lost almost $13K this month alone, my earnings are tanking. I'd appreciate some financial advice from anyone who knows more going forward.

[Miaholmes]

How the hell does everyone just have millions to go buy up all these houses that are 1.1-1.5 million for your average 3-4 bedroom house where I am!? I don’t get it

[MrJoker-]

Think about this, some of the same houses bought for 20k are selling for 250k. The problem isn't homes, it's the fact our currency is almost worthless.

[jameslucas]

Let it crash let it crash let it crash

[patriciahargraves]

It is more than just the interest rate. The extremely high increase in property taxes and insurance has caused the monthly payments to increase to the point where people will loose their homes.