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We Benchmarked ChatGPT for Investing: ChatGPT vs. Our Model Ensemble!
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01:31 RLHF
02:44 PPO optimization
03:25 Problem formulation
03:48 Implement reward
05:11 Token by token training unleashed
06:00 ChatGPT to the test
06:57 Qualitative results
08:13 ChatGPT evaluation framework
10:31 Temperature test results
11:33 MCC explanation
12:16 Quantitative results
14:55 Limitations
15:22 Outlook
16:00 Conclusion
We bake-off chatGPT and our in-house MoE LLM ensemble on a standard machine learning setup for stock price prediction 6 months out. We ask both models to make their decision based on intrinsic value factors on a heldout test set. Each model evaluated over 6.35 M tokens of financial filings.
02:44 PPO optimization
03:25 Problem formulation
03:48 Implement reward
05:11 Token by token training unleashed
06:00 ChatGPT to the test
06:57 Qualitative results
08:13 ChatGPT evaluation framework
10:31 Temperature test results
11:33 MCC explanation
12:16 Quantitative results
14:55 Limitations
15:22 Outlook
16:00 Conclusion
We bake-off chatGPT and our in-house MoE LLM ensemble on a standard machine learning setup for stock price prediction 6 months out. We ask both models to make their decision based on intrinsic value factors on a heldout test set. Each model evaluated over 6.35 M tokens of financial filings.
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We Benchmarked ChatGPT for Investing: ChatGPT vs. Our Model Ensemble!
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