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How Interest Rate Cuts Will Impact Dividend Stocks
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Last Wednesday the Federal Reserve enacted its first interest rate cut since the beginning of the pandemic. During the Fed meeting they decided to go with a larger, 50 basis point cut. In the days leading up to the meeting people were speculating they'd either go with a 50 or 25 point cut. The reason they went a little more aggressive was to head off a slowdown in the labor market. With inflation softening and concerns about a possible recession, Jerome Powell explained that they thought it was best to reduce rates as much as they did, in the hope of achieving a soft landing.
While that's still to be determined, the fact is lowering interest rates does have a number of benefits for the economy, and thus the stock market. It's well documented that interest rates and the stock market have an inverse relationship. When rates get cut, the stock market usually performs better. When interest rates go up, the performance of stocks usually falls. The main reason for this is because when rates go up, borrowing money becomes more expensive for companies. This slows down growth, and share prices usually fall. When rates get cut, then borrowing is cheaper, and growth becomes easier. At the same time, if there isn't a soft landing and a recession seems more imminent, then stocks can still fall after a rate cut.
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