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Iran, North Korea, and the Renewed Challenge of Proliferation: R. Scott Kemp
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R. Scott Kemp (Massachusetts Institute of Technology) presents at the APS March Meeting 2019 in Boston, MA. View abstract below.
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Iran, North Korea, and the Renewed Challenge of Proliferation
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Nuclear weapons are now a 70-year-old technology. Since that time, progress in science and technology has made access to nuclear weapons easier for all who might seek them—yet, interestingly, there has been less nuclear proliferation in the last four decades than in the first three; and the nuclear proliferation of recent years has occurred has a different character than the proliferation seen in the first half of the nuclear age. This puzzle can be largely explained by the politics of the international system; but technology has also played an important role. Technologies have shaping the actual and perceived capabilities of states; and has provided justifications and means for circumventing different systems of control. This talk examines the cases of Iran and North Korea as archetypes for understanding how technological change might impact proliferation in the future. Particular focus will be given to the impact of the gas centrifuge, which has enabled proliferation; detection of clandestine programs; and to emerging technologies and policies that might help limit, control, or reverse proliferation.
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Iran, North Korea, and the Renewed Challenge of Proliferation
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Nuclear weapons are now a 70-year-old technology. Since that time, progress in science and technology has made access to nuclear weapons easier for all who might seek them—yet, interestingly, there has been less nuclear proliferation in the last four decades than in the first three; and the nuclear proliferation of recent years has occurred has a different character than the proliferation seen in the first half of the nuclear age. This puzzle can be largely explained by the politics of the international system; but technology has also played an important role. Technologies have shaping the actual and perceived capabilities of states; and has provided justifications and means for circumventing different systems of control. This talk examines the cases of Iran and North Korea as archetypes for understanding how technological change might impact proliferation in the future. Particular focus will be given to the impact of the gas centrifuge, which has enabled proliferation; detection of clandestine programs; and to emerging technologies and policies that might help limit, control, or reverse proliferation.
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