Why the US may already be in a recession

With Trump tariff headlines ripping through markets and economic data, recession calls or predictions for a sharp economic slowdown are coming into the light. The most direct one comes out of BCA Research’s veteran strategist Peter Berezin. Berezin said he sees a 75% chance of a recession within the next three months. In his second quarter outlook for clients, Berezin warned about a “buckling” US consumer and weakening labor market. Berezin has gained attention of late for being the lone bear on Wall Street coming into 2025. He has a year-end target on the S&P 500 of 4,450. The S&P 500 (^GSPC) opened the year at 5,903. Berezin has been an economist for more than 30 years, with stints at the International Monetary Fund (IMF), Goldman Sachs, and now BCA Research. Yahoo Finance Executive Editor Brian Sozzi sits down on the Opening Bid podcast with Berezin about his big calls and why investors need to listen up. For full episodes of Opening Bid, listen on your favorite podcast platform or watch on our website.
#youtube #stocks #podcast #recession

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[KristoferMccabe-yr]

Watched the market dip and just shook my head, Utex makes it clearer without all the noise

[Berto]

Recessions are generally called after it's been in progress for months.

[smilemm]

I was broke 6 months ago and I'm still broke🍻

[danielquinn]

My spouse is already panicking, so many questions! will the rate cut lead to inflation? I'm very worried about my $1million stock portfolio losing value. Do i move to 100% cash? What strategies should I be employing in my portfolio right now?

[garydavidson]

Trump economics we could have voted harris investing in small business new homes bring down inflation instead of adding cost

[adityasinha]

so when will usa be outside recession, that's the real question.

[kaliikleja]

i can't understand one thing, why recession never comes at nowdays?

[effurfeelings]

We've been in one, but the Feds keeps changing the goal post.

[MrFenris]

We Europeans are amazed by you. China is the largest holder of US debt. If you relocate those securities to the bond market, the interest on US debt will rise. That's precisely what Trump says he's going to prevent with tariffs. And with an economy contracting precisely because of tariffs and a declining dollar, this could lead to a bankruptcy of the US Treasury.
You've never experienced this, and it seems impossible to you. Your arrogance will be studied in History books.🤦‍♀

[greenbeetless]

Thank you trump, I have the opportunity to buy for next few months when everyone is scared.

[Profoundkarma]

Our Great Depression is our lives type

[greenbeetless]

Once they finally say we are in recession the market changes course. My future portfolio looks healthy.

[DeepVerma]

Money printing creates inflation not Tariffs.

[MuscleWhisperer]

The recession started in Q3 2023 when GDP ground to a halt even with people using plastic and AfterPay for consumption. The difference now is that those people are running out of access to credit and the new catalyst of tariffs is making the recession more obvious.

[The_Judge]

I think S&P 500 will drop down to 4000 in 2025.
I think 4450 is to optimistic.

[gael-hp]

Your explanation is concise and practical. However, the market can be manipulated in many ways. I had an early understanding of trading crypto assets but was limited by my technical analysis skills. That changed when I discovered Declan Ming’s strategy. Day trading should be given more attention as it is less affected by the market's unpredictable nature..

[bartwilliams]

No the house and Senate are going to prevent tax from expiring, create incentives to bring back manufacturing, tariffs will be adjusted based in negotiations putting America first.

[HieouyaAgnèsDoyo]

I am at the beginning of my "investment journey", planning to put 385K into dividend stocks so that I will be making up to 30% annually in dividend returns. any good stock recommendation on great performing stocks will be appreciated!!