Tropical Storm Ernesto Will Form Soon, Who Needs To Prepare...

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98L is about to become a tropical storm Ernesto soon as it's a threat to the lesser & greater Antilles. But once it reaches the Bahamas, will it strengthen into Hurricane Ernesto or become our 2nd major hurricane of the Atlantic hurricane season. In today's tropical weather forecast, we'll discuss all of those details.

Video Chapters:
0:00 - Intro
0:11 - 98L Organizing Quickly
1:50 - NHC Has A High Chance On 98L
2:48 - Latest Forecast On 98L
10:31 - How Much Rain?
11:45 - Surf Forecast
12:59 - HWRF Shows A Hurricane!!!
15:24 - Spaghetti Models
21:20 - Why Will 98L Turn North Eventually?
25:02 - Review
26:04 - Outro/Promotion

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Disclaimer: All of my videos and live streams are for entertainment purposes only, and to discuss raw operational model guidance and its ensembles, I'm also comparing models too. So please seek official sources like the National Weather Service, National Hurricane Center, or The Weather Channel for more detailed and accurate information.

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Everything shows it turning out! Hopefully it keeps turning out to sea and doesn’t effect anyone!

mrsll

No matter where you live, we all need a weather break. Things have been insane for months. Let’s keep fingers crossed that this turns out to sea and gives us the sigh of relief we need.

christie.d

By far one of the best detailed, comprehensive weather channels out there. He always does an outstanding job without leaving anything out. Thank you Josh for always keeping us informed and God bless.

wolftracks

Just went through hell aboard my sailboat with Debby! I'm in Sarasota Bay about a half a mile offshore and on a 39 ft tartan, first my snubber broke, lost a cleat, had to go out on the bow and use a ratchet strap to tie my chain to my bowsprit because it was eating through the wood and almost rubbed through to the fiberglass. Finally got that done and then my bilge pump quit working so I was hand bailing water out for about 2 hours finally found my spare bilge underneath all the junk that had fallen off of my shelves, finally got the water out. But a lot of stuff got wet and had to throw it all away. Just about got everything cleaned up, but I am exhausted! I sure do hope this goes up in the Atlantic. With all that said I'm glad I was aboard had I not been, Rebecca would have definitely sank. Good luck to everyone out there be safe! Be prepared! Because any damn thing can happen!

peterbrown

Love watching videos like this! I live in Newfoundland and for the past few years, there have been stronger storms more frequent happening here in the north.

davecowan

You're the best David. Your detailed breakdowns are on point and beyond informative. Thankyou for your work! You deserve more subs brother.

KrisMIW

I feel like this is going to be a big one 🏃‍♀️🌊

LindyandDevin

This is one of the best forecast channels ever! Thank you!

carollee

Hope everyone stays safe no matter the outcome, but I trust your judgement and research! These things are wild and tricky for sure.

Thanks for teaching us!

SoupSpot

Thank you, David, I am in St. Croix. I survived the ferocious LENNY all by myself in 1999. Ever since then I feel as if I can fight anything. I slept through the worst part of Hurricane Maria while the rest of the family were hearing all the frightful noise 0:31 of the hurricane. So come what may I will just do what needs to be done to get ready as everyone should. I am now 82 since LENNY but I still have enough vim, vigor, and vitality to handle anything.😅 I became a hurricane correspondent for Stormcarib after LENNY.

isabelcerni

Florida here. Still wet. Dont need it. Turn it out

jamesb.

I was in Broward County during the time of Andrew and we were expected to be a direct hit, Andy decided at the last minute it wanted to go to Miami and leveled it. You just never know

straycats

David You do such a fantastic job explaining thoroughly what can potentially happen with a system. You seem to be the most professional person I’ve seen that explains things well.

joellucchi

That was a superb forecast David. Totally agree with you; this could be a fish storm, but it is really too soon to say for sure. Give it several more days before we see what it plans on doing; the winds, if it strengthens or keeps "plugging" along Westward. Will keep a watching to see. Thanks for taking the time in doing this

colleenpriest