Uh-Oh...Are People Voting in November?

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Broadcast on July 9, 2018

[cagedtigersteve]

Voting on November 6, 2018. Vote Republicans out of office.

[cbbgenki]

It’s been proven many times over that even 1 vote can swing the election. People don’t realize that if u vote, the opponent needs 2 votes to beat your side. Voting is your duty to your country and a sign of respect to all those who sacrificed (and many their lives) to give you this right. JUST DO IT

[MarkKeller]

Vote straight Democrat in 2018 and in 2020.

[justagamer]

I'm a Republican. Voted that way in every election save two since my first midterm ballot I cast in 1998.
This time I'll be voting Democratic across the board. I don't approve of treason, I don't approve of racism or sexual battery and I most of all don't approve of Donald Trump, as he embodies all these things. I am not comfortable with this, but country over party for me I guess.

[itgetter]

To my younger friends who aren't convinced that voting matters, I tell them: Sure, just voting is not going to be the way to achieve huge positive outcomes (such as, for example, addressing climate change). BUT . . . at the same time, NOT voting carries huge implications. If enough progressives decide NOT to vote, it's almost always going to mean that a whole lot of people are going to end up getting massively hurt, by Republican policies. Look at it this way: voting is not an offensive weapon but a defensive one: it's like a shield you're holding up, to prevent further damage, while the social movements pushing the change you REALLY want to see are underway.

[coachb]

America The survival of the planet is in your hands.

[velmax]

#BLUEWAVE everyone of my friends is voting and voting blue!!!!

[somebody]

Gotta vote, have to vote, must vote. Please, every progressive or logical and sentient human being reading this, for the sake of the almighty sky god, please vote and vote as often and as many times as you possibly can!

[isosebryl]

Ex republican here !! the whole family is now actually .. save America!! let’s feel proud again ❤️

[spacewinter]

I'm voting for Beto in Texas. We need people to show up. When people don't show up, we get politicians who don't represent the majority.

[keriezy]

I'm handing out 500 business cards, that I had made, and they tell you how, where, and what you need to register. They do not say to vote any which way; the cards only inform you how to get to vote.

[KesselRunner]

Voting matters.

But *Not* voting matters *more* . Not voting is what got Trump electd in the first place. It left holes for the worst possible choice to be given power.

[ZachTheRantingGuy]

I know I WILL BE VOTING for sure. Vote Democrat by any means necessary!

[dougdoesall]

Whether your vote causes someone to win or not, at the very least it sends a message to politicians what the people want. Your vote says something.

[michaelepstein]

i've been waking up and mentoring around 10 NEW uninformed/misinformed individuals every week.

It is imperative that each and every one of us, without exception, does the same.

Start with your family, friends, and acquaintances. Take them under your wings. One-on-one. Help them to become well-informed on all the major issues of today AND inspire them to devote their time, energy, resources, and talents to the political process to make sure that only the most Loving/most Wise among us become our public servants.

Moreover, make sure each one of them does the same. So on and so forth.

If you can't do 10, do 5. If you can't do 5, do 3. Just don't do nothing.

[DavidFernandez-yfjv]

Vote por Progressives!, go guys you can!

[RizenLink]

Yes! Everyone get everyone you know to vote Democrat in November! Fight Republican fascism!

[blueBlackpurple]

If every person who plans to vote Democrat in November of 2018 would try to get at least 10 or more other people to vote Democrat, that would help a lot. Try to convince your friends, family members, and associates to vote in the 2018 Mid-Term elections. We REALLY need a BIG voter turn out. We can NOT assume that there will be a Blue Wave. We MUST do all we can to make sure there is a Blue Wave.

[Kylopod]

It isn't necessarily accurate that 2016 historically should have been a good year for Democrats. For one thing, historically it's hard for a party to win three straight terms in the White House. Second, while the economy was in good shape in 2016, there had been a slowdown in economic growth over the past year, and research suggests there's a close relationship between the direction of the economy (as opposed to the health of the economy in an absolute sense) and election results. That's why noted political scientist Alan Abramowitz's model suggested that a generic Republican would have had an advantage over a generic Democrat that year--but Abramowitz stated publicly that he believed his model would fail that year because Trump was such a weak nominee. Obviously he overestimated the impact of Trump's weaknesses (and underestimated the impact of Hillary's), but it illustrates that Trump didn't overperform for a Republican that year; if anything, he underperformed (given that he lost the popular vote).

Obama's popularity also doesn't necessarily make it historically unusual that Hillary lost. Bill Clinton was very popular when Al Gore (sort of) lost in 2000. Same with Eisenhower and Nixon in 1960. The popularity of the incumbent doesn't always transfer to the successor.

Now, it ALSO isn't necessarily true that history suggests there should be a "blue wave" this year. History suggests the party in the White House loses seats in the House of Representatives during midterm elections. Even that doesn't always happen (it didn't in 2002, 1998, or 1934), but it usually does. However, Dems don't just need to gain seats, they need to gain enough to take over the chamber, which currently requires a net gain of at least 23 seats. If they only gain, say, 20 seats, that will fall short of their goal of capturing the chamber, but it would still fit the historical pattern of the out-party gaining seats. (I think it's extremely unlikely that the Dems will actually lose seats this year, but failure to capture the chamber will widely be seen as essentially a defeat for them, even if they narrow the GOP's majority considerably.)

So really I don't think we can make absolute statements about what "history" tells us about either 2016 or 2018. The Dems losing in 2016, despite what David suggests, wasn't historically abnormal (even if the candidate who won was), nor would Dems falling short of their goal of capturing the House in 2018.

[peterford]

David, i think people will turn out, , , just hope it's big. But, if people don't get out then they'll have to accept what he does and what Republicans do.