China signals bolder stimulus in 2025: What to expect?

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For the first time in 14 years, China is changing its stance on monetary policy to "moderately loose" from "prudent." According to the recent Communist Party of China leadership meeting on 2025 economic work, the country is to implement a "more proactive" fiscal policy. And China will also step up "unconventional" counter-cyclical adjustments and boost domestic demand and consumption. So, what factors have contributed to the government's new stance to cope with the economic slowdown? What does a "moderately loose" monetary policy mean? In a nutshell, what policies can we expect to stabilize the economy?

Guests in this edition of Dialogue are Professor Liu Baocheng from University of International Business and Economics; Professor Radhika Desai, director of the Geopolitical Economy Research Group; and Clare Pearson, international development director-Asia at DLA Piper.

[harbinger]

Good afternoon Prof Radhika Prof Clare Prof Liu and Mr Qindou ❤️🇨🇳🦾😇🌹👋

[th_decile]

Two neoliberals in the panel vs. one leftist, but there remains a vacuum in this discussion when it comes to the question "what do regular workers (in China) want? Where can the economy improve their lives?". It is striking that the low Chinese birthrate wasn't raised in the discussion! Shouldn't the government focus its stimulus on family leave benefits, parenting benefits, childcare, healthcare etc. Make it easier for workers to take a lengthy professional break and allow them to start a family. The remaining workers will bargain for a higher wage and this will counteract deflationary pressure and wealth inequality. When it comes to GDP this may not allow for the fastest rebound, or when it comes to comparisons with the US this may not be the strategy which makes China overtake it in hard power terms as fast as possible, but it is the most harmonious long-term strategy.

[kennyyap]

CHINA GDP TODATE AT 4.8%2024..G7 AT NEW PROPERTY/INFRASTRUCTURE ASSETS @

[ChicagoTurtle]

The GDP growth of rightwing nations - yes like America - has growth in speculative finance. Yes they count on non-productive, digitally fabricated financial growth in finance to boost GDP “growth”. GDP also doesn’t account for wealth disparity in a nation. Also GDP includes bubble market figures. Yes. Nominal GDP growth is the wrong metric to pursue.

[ELIOSANFELIU]

It's an upward trend to rise China and his trade partners all over the world¡¡If we think in global copper market, China is the main driver of base metals yearly around the world(35%-45%)and this powerful country must to purchase more fine copper production due its serius demographic problem¡¡¡China is one of the main customers of chilean copper like US;JAPAN and Germany since many years ago¡¡China must to increase infrastructure investments in the long term, and its positive economic policies are better facts to rise global GDP the next year¡¡¡China and Asia Pacific Group are value creation trade with a lot of money arriving globally having big money flows like foreign investment in such areas like and airports);;Financial markets and commodities market strongly¡¡I don't know if US-China Trade War will be so hard like in the past¡¡¡It's possible that US wants to come back to gold standard with US dollar as a whole against global currencies basket of another richest countries like Singapur;;Malasia;;India;;and China¡¡¡ I can be wrong ¡¡I have deep hopeful in better days to humanity as well as in global prosperity peacefully¡¡

[WingedKing]

China has youth unemployment at record highs, foreign investment at record lows, and faces export sanctions from all major countries in the world china is collapsing. ❤😂❤😂❤😂🎉

[liamporter]

This weak China economy, no government officials are taking responsibilities and just simply blaming it to the geopolitics tensions. People lose confident to spend is mainly due to the problematic policies and implementations. Government officials responsible need to step down.

China wants people to be bolder is ridiculous as they've blindly implemented tightening policy across all industries for so many years already. Who dares to be bold? People think China is going back to the culture revolution era. Thoughtless implementation in the first place.