It's Over: We're in Recession [Do this NOW].

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This video does not provide personalized advice for any viewer. Kevin, also known as Meet Kevin on social media, is not acting as your advisor in any capacity. Kevin's licenses do not imply that his advice is tailored to your individual circumstances. Any services, promotions, or links offered in this video may result in financial benefits for Kevin through paid advertisements, affiliate relationships, or products owned or partially owned by Kevin.

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[taylor]

The sad thing is those job numbers are probably still extremely over exaggerated to make things look better than they really are.

[ironhorse]

We've been in recession for over a year. Everything has been artificially propped up for far too long. It's like a badly poured beer. Eventually, the foam dissipates, and you're left with half a glass.

[herbythechef]

Kevin i work in custom welding in south ontario canada, right next to the derroit border. We always worked 50+ hours a week for over 15 years. Now this past few months we are working 40. I have tightened our family budget already and preparing to work all positions i told my boss today. He said he was considering laying off some people and said he appreciates me talking to him. Im making sure im gonna keep my job through this

[dr.meepmop]

Multiple people I know literally just got laid off last month. Their companies filing for bankruptcy

[leonstephenson]

I listened to this guy for years and I lost every penny let that sink in 😂

[danielread]

I'M AMAZED YOU JUST FIGURED OUT WE'RE IN A RECESSION. MOST AMERICANS HAVE BEEN IN ONE FOR A LONG TIME. COME ON DUDE.

[StremeSpoats]

Remember everyone, recessions are buying opportunities. The good companies will recover. Don't panic!

[Stackksss]

Literally next week on Monday…”I am going all in here is why”

[bigman]

I knew things were starting to falter a little while ago when my old job was beginning to lack work. Went from working 45 to 40 hours to almost 25 hours. We did fine carpentry and my department would basically end up finishing work by 12 or 1pm. Initially we’d try to find something to do, but then we started getting sent home early. We are tied to the construction industry’s performance so when builders are not building as much, not building at all, or opting for cheaper carpentry, I know something isn’t right with the economy. It’s usually an early indicator. So on top of the number of people working, we really have to consider the hours being offered by individual companies. Are people buying? Are they buying enough to warrant people getting full time, over time, etc.

[CraigLCharles]

The SAHM rule is a recession indicator that uses the yield curve to predict recessions. It is defined as:
(SAHM Rule) = (2-year Treasury yield - 10-year Treasury yield) > 0.5%

When the SAHM rule is true, it means that the 2-year Treasury yield is more than 0.5% higher than the 10-year Treasury yield. This is a sign of a inverted yield curve, which has historically been a reliable predictor of recessions.

The SAHM rule is named after its creators, who are economists that studied the relationship between the yield curve and recessions. The rule is intended to provide a simple and objective way to identify when the yield curve is inverted and a recession is likely to occur.

Here's how to interpret the SAHM rule:

If (2-year Treasury yield - 10-year Treasury yield) > 0.5%, then the SAHM rule is true, indicating a high probability of a recession within the next 12-18 months.

If (2-year Treasury yield - 10-year Treasury yield) < 0.5%, then the SAHM rule is false, indicating a low probability of a recession.
The SAHM rule is not a guarantee of a recession, but rather a statistical indicator that has been shown to be effective in predicting recessions in the past.

Summary:
• Kevin discusses the recent job numbers and the triggering of the SAHM rule, a recessionary indicator.
• He analyzes past instances where the SAHM rule was triggered and the subsequent market performance.
• Kevin believes that if we are in a recession, the market may not bottom out immediately and could take several months.
• He suggests being cautious, cutting expenses, and preparing for a potential recession.
• Kevin also discusses investment strategies, such as buying gold, McDonald's, and Amazon, which he believes could perform well in a recession.

Insights:
• Kevin analysis of the SAHN rule and its historical correlation with recessions is insightful.
• His emphasis on being cautious and preparing for a potential recession is prudent.
• The suggestion to invest in companies with strong balance sheets, pricing power, and a history of performance during recessions, such as Amazon and McDonald's, is a reasonable strategy.
• However, it's essential to note that no one can predict market performance with certainty, and diversification is crucial in any investment strategy.

Key Points:
• The SAHM rule, a recessionary indicator, has been triggered.
• Past instances of the SAHM rule triggering have led to recessions.
• Kevin believes the market may not bottom out immediately and could take several months.
• Be cautious, cut expenses, and prepare for a potential recession.
• Consider investing in companies with strong balance sheets, pricing power, and a history of performance during recessions.

[CV-breu]

I'm sitting pretty now, I went through my shit in 2021, working as a mechanical design engineer in commercial real estate, we felt this result right away as we are the first in the line as far as where investment money on new commercial ventures goes, entire company hours cut in 2020 and layoffs started in 2021, now the trickle down has reach everyone...we have been floating on printed money the past 3 years and now its time for us to sink a bit before we regain our previous buoyancy.

[ms.budgetmom]

WE HAVE BEEN IN A RECESSION FOR A WHILE NOW

[soundslight]

If you cry recession like that Bury guy does every day, you'll be right one day sooner or later. Is that calling the market?
If you sit on toilet long enough eventually you'll need to use the facilities - is that a supernatural ability?

[Rainman]

Word on the street is that Tommy Lee is trying to catch Kevin outside lmaoooo

[MustPassTruck]

Elections have consequences . My pay went up under Trump. Now my pay is dropping and inflation has put me back over 10 years.

[glennwojcik]

Cramer is an excellent barometer for everything. Opposite.

[isener]

This just happened to us. 70% earner lost his job. Family of four. Amazing how fast our cupboards and fridge emptied in 2 weeks. Stock up on food and get outta debt or at least have some accessible savings.

[JustMe-jjlm]

Kevin can flip flop while mid flip flop WHILE wearing flip flops.
Amazing!!!

[johnagudelo]

I've made a money following you and I am a course member. I regard you as one of the best and most dedicated financial analysts there is. Please don't give in to the negativity, I don't know what I would do without you

[BrokerBarbara]

I appreciate your honesty and integrity Kevin. A real man owns it and you do! No one is right all the time, not even Tom Lee! Have a great weekend folks!