10AM Tropical Weather Update: Development in Caribbean?

The only area to watch this week is the middle of the Caribbean Sea where a spot of low pressure may start to develop midweek. This low-pressure area will drift northwest toward Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula by next weekend.

Right now long-range global models show it getting stuck in the Bay of Campeche and moving west into Mexico ten or more days from now.

There is a lot of time to watch it take shape, but at this point it does not appear it will get near the US. We'll continue to track it.

[EddyeSpaghetti]

After Ida, Louisiana should be exempt.

[molonlave]

Here in Texas, they also said this potential system "Bonnie" will not pose a threat to our state. However, we really do need the rain badly.

[christianwolf]

here is a question for the forecasters and viewers, a cat 4-5 every 15 years or cat 1-2 every year. take your pick. note there is no exemption for getting more than 1 cat 1-2 per year