Gavin Newsom: The Next Democratic Nominee?

Biden may still be in office, but given his age and polling numbers, talk is turning to who could be the next Democratic nominee in 2024. So in this video we'll look at one figure who could fill that role California Governor Gavin Newsom.

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[burningphoenix]

Should be noted that while you said Taft won, he didn’t win fairly, Teddy had more delegates and thus should have won. But the conservative party bosses literally locked them out of the building. So Teddy would have won if all delegates were fairly counted.

[takeoischi]

From Orange man, to sleepy potato, now to bond villain

[JVentura]

There is an important thing to note. Although you mentioned some of Newsom's actions, he probably couldn't do that with the Dems in California Legislature. They have a supermajority in both chambers. If Newsom becomes president, he won't have a majority near that. Also, Dem lean judges seat most of California's courts, and they can prevent judicial victories against Newsom's actions. The federal judiciary, on the other hand, is a different story.

[kevley]

Im not a big fan of Newsom, but you should keep in mind that any recall in California will get around 38 percent because thats about how many Republicans are in California. The recall was actually a massive win for him when you consider he won with a similar margin in a regular election. The media uproar about it was mainly because polls showed that it was closer than it was

[hessanscounty]

While Newsom might make a shot if it is an open primary (aka, Biden chooses not to try for a second term), I doubt he would try to take on Biden directly. He is too cozy with the old-school liberal wing of the party.

[Clone]

I just want candidates who arent out of touch 70 year olds.

[ApolloELM]

Actually, two presidents have been successfully primaried by their own parties: Franklin Pierce was successfully primaried by James Buchanan, as was Chester A. Arthur by James G. Blaine.

[tylerkochman]

Worth noting
1) California has the lowest threshold for recall in the USA
2) Judges allowed the recall efforts to have extended deadlines due to COVID. Had the deadlines not been extended, not enough signatures would have been collected.

[antoniomromo]

Two things need to be said.

One: as others have said, your analysis on the recall is slightly problematic. Any California recall of a democratic governor will get about 38% due to the fact that republican voters will always vote to recall. Newsom came out of the recall with a similar margin a victory has that of a regular election.

The biggest problem I have with Newsom is his complete abandonment of the single payer healthcare plan for California. The implementation was actually quite ingenious. It would seek waivers for all health care and healthcare related remittances the state makes to federal programs and instead expand Medicare to all California's and have the taxes deposited into a healthcare account. The state would also place a tax on businesses earning a certain amount of profit. This would be a smaller percentage than most California businesses pay for employee health insurance through private companies.

Cost would be kept in line because every doctor, medical provider, company, or practice, could choose to enter into a contract with the state individually or as a group. It would also have required providers to disclose their costs when seeking to be reimbursed.

The idea of keeping California health Care money in California, and that the average business would end up paying less than they do under the current system, would have been easy sell for the fiscally conservative.

[bkearneydc]

Hey guys, I am normally a massive fan your work, but I respectfully suggest here that you are misunderstanding this. San Francisco politics are notoriously combative, as are the politics within the California Democratic party. The fact that he successfully navigated the conflict between the moderates and liberals in both of these situations is a big deal. If California was its own country, it would leave Newsom running the fifth largest economy in the world. More than one in ten Americans are his constituents. The video also makes no mention of the possibility of Biden choosing to not seek reelection. I could be wrong about this, but if Newsom chose to run against Biden I'd be shocked. If he defeated Biden and lost the general, or if he beat up Biden in the primary and then Biden lost the 2024 presidential election, I believe that would be the end of Newsom's presidential aspirations. Many Democrats were furious at Kennedy for their perception that Kennedy softened up Carter for Regan; Kennedy never ran for President again after 1980. I don't know if I would actually support Newsom, but I did want to offer a different perspective on this. You are an amazing outlet, and I love the Daily Briefing, I just think you missed the boat on this one.

[murdelabop]

Newsome facing a recall isn't really a surprise. Almost every California governor for the past 70 years has faced a recall. California's barriers to a recall are so low that they invite nuisance recall elections.

[Oakley_TheTree]

One thing to note is that while incumbents being successfully primaried by their own party is rather rare, there have been examples, such as in 1968 with President Johnson, where a president can be pressured not to seek re-election. We are still many months from the first sniff of a primary, so we will have to see if this is the case with Biden.

[TheLwner]

Given the general sentiment on california in every other state I doubt he has any chance.

[tylerkochman]

Btw, you pronounced Roosevelt right. That’s how Teddy pronounced it.

We tend to use the pronunciation that FDR used for both Roosevelts. Teddy pronounced it roose-evelt while Franklin pronounced it rose—evelt

[paulbegley]

Newsom is even worse. I'm in California and I dread him getting into the top job.

[ironassaultdrama]

PLEASE DON'T CALL HIM "THE NEW BIDEN" WE REALLY DON'T NEED ANOTHER ONE

[julieannscotia]

Thank you for this video. I live in California and I never knew his history or background. I remember him as our mayor (that’s another story) but never seen or heard the rest you showed in your video. Thanks. Very helpful. JulieAnn from California

[jimmyz]

From old Steve Rogers to Patrick Bateman

[TheFireGiver]

JB pritzker, governor of Illinois, is also seen as a potential presidential candidate in 2024 or 2028. He is also not overwhelming popular in his state, but he has done an ok job on helping Illinois recover from almost total economic collapse.

[nathansamuelson]

If 2024 is Newsom vs Desantis we're doomed for another pointless crisis