Keynote: The Next Decade of Software Development - Richard Campbell - NDC Minnesota

How will software development evolve in the 2020s? Join Richard Campbell as he explores the landscape of technology that will have a massive impact on software development over the next ten years.

What new devices are coming? Will Artificial Intelligence take over everything? How will people connect to the web in the next ten years? And what about Quantum Computing? All these topics and more will shape our future!

Speaker: Richard Campbell

[StefanReich]

Maybe in the next decade, we can make software that doesn't make mistakes like putting the audio only in one channel

[randomexcuse]

I really loved this talk, lots of valuable information - hopefully it sticks, and doesn't just end up going in one ear and out the other.

[javiasilis]

Such a great talk! I tend to agree with what is shared. I'm excited to see where WebAssembly takes us!

[fabrice]

Pas mal du tout !! conference intéressante sur le passé, le présent et peut être le futur du logiciel, avec un orateur compréhensible, humoristique et plein de bon sens . Merci.

[cornjulio]

This looks very interesting, please re-upload with proper Audio Channels !

[dpak]

I thoroughly enjoyed this presentation; it provided a wealth of valuable information. Richard you rock!

[nifftbatuff]

The most important question is: Will we be still free to program what we wish?

[Roibarkan]

12:35 The two diagrams (x86 vs. ARM) seem to be of differing “resolutions “ - the left one seems to describe a CPUs micro architecture, and the right one seems to be a system-architecture. I agree that x86 likely has complexities related to backward compatibility, I just don’t see how those diagrams show it

[naturallyinterested]

Transistors are not 5nm across. The "5nm process" is a marketing term that is, unfortunately, farther and farther removed from reality. While "feature size" is going down and that does somewhat correlate with the number of transistors per unit area, it is not a correspondence to transistor size. Decreasing feature size might just mean that transistors of roughly the same size can now be squeezed together more.

[vortical]

Awesome talk. Needs more views. Title is a little misleading

[philburtscher]

will we all have our own quantum computers in our pockets one day? seems like a possibility. Great talk and sharing it with a lot of people i know at home and work! go technology go!

[davidvernon]

Good presentation, but it does come across a bit like a Microsoft commercial

[boristheengineer]

One problem with the end of Moore's law would be the effect it has on the economics of semiconductor manufacturing, and there are some worrying scenarios. If I assume that obsolescence is a major driver of demand for leading edge semiconductors then what happens when this year's computer doesn't outperform last year's computer. At some point business IT will stop performing a de-facto rolling upgrade and instead buy the same generation of computer for an extended period of time so as to have an interchangeable "fleet".
When Apple can't make an iPhone that is demonstrably better than the previous generation they'll probably have to make it cheaper.
This means the production cost of leading edge semiconductors will go up not down with time because the fabs won't have steady work to "cover the rent", and this in turn may lead to market prices for consumer products going up for the same performance.
This will totally invert the economics of technology, and worst case it may lead to a "die back" effect where the smallest geometries are abandoned for all but a few exotic "at all cost" applications.
Now the good news is it won't roll all the way back to 10 micron, there's a "sweet spot" where going to an older technology will cost more anyway due to getting less product out, but we might end up with a large market for salvaged processors.

[victorpinasarnault]

The best computing lecture that I ever seen... ever!

[bulwarkjm]

13:50 "the nice thing about the future is that its already here, its just not evenly distributed".

[jmartinez]

His style of communication reminds me of Peter Zeihan. lol Good video!

[this_is_mac]

Just switch to mono if you have problem, guys

[hrnekbezucha]

Guess i best learn cobol, then. I always wanted to work with some of the ancient giants of ibm

[multiHappyHacker]

he appeared to be more interested in the quality of the code they were writing, and if they actually wrote any code at all.

[journeytonanosecond]

Excellent presentation and perspectives