Why the Midterms Are Looking Closer Than Ever

In a surprising turn by historical standards, Biden’s polling has improved significantly in the last few weeks. So exactly what is driving Biden's rise? Can it be sustained going into the midterms? And do the Democrats have a chance of actually winning?

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[jorenbaplu]

It's frankly insane that with everything going on the polling is still this close.

[yuvalne]

Surprise: when the democrats actually do stuff, their polling figures rise!

[nickmacarius]

It would be interesting to see how our elections would turn out if all our elections had AV+ ranking system.

[nathanielclaw]

GOP: NO! YOU CANNOT JUST GIVE YOUR VOTERS WHAT THEY WANT THATS BUYING VOTES!!!!

[soccerguy]

6:08 The new representative from Alaska's name is MARY Peltola, not Amy. Also, it was Nick Begich III who was running, not Mark (that's his uncle). Other than that, everything's pretty accurate. Good work guys!

[edsova]

The midterms are like two ships crossing each other during the night. Democrats and talking about abortion to their base while Republicans are talking about inflation to their base.

[thepeff]

I was unhealthy and diagnosed with T2 Diabetes back when I needed 2 vials a month at $100 a piece. That was my main impetus for getting better was being unable to afford insulin long term. I had a bit of a miracle happen to me and that's an option for some but not for most. Now insulin is twice the price and would have cost me half my rent money if I still needed it.

[MostlyPennyCat]

"Although the reasons are always global, voters never really seem to understand that particular memo"
Repeat 10x
🤣

[flyebos]

It’s not the Hobbs decision but the Dobbs decision…

[rmdodsonbills]

For the record, the recent Supreme Court case that removed Constitutional protections for abortion rights is Dobbs v. Jackson, not Hobbes. You keep making this mistake and I'm starting to wonder if it's on purpose somehow.

[whaahh]

dark Brandon cant be stopped you can only slow him down

[fraliexb]

I have to disagree with the Media's portrayal of Senators Sinama and Manchin. They are not "moderate" or "centralist" Democrats; they are Corporate Democrats. All they care about is benefiting their Campaign Donors.

[ED-wwvz]

How's the emergency oil reserves doing?

[mattbenz]

Be very careful about using the August polls for November midterms. August just happened to be an unusually good month for the Democrats because they managed to get out 1 big piece of legislation and the stock market began rebounding. We are 2 market days into September and the stock market has already begun to fall again as the Fed promised to continue its big rate hikes (likely another 0.75% raise in September) until they get evidence of inflation consistently slowing and the Democrats have now blown their legislative load, so they will have nothing else this year.

Now, this is not the end of the world for the Democrats, as I think they still have a chance. I think the biggest tell for whether the Democrats will win or not in the Midterms will be the November 2nd Fed meeting right before the November 8th midterm election. The September meeting is going to be painful and cause the stock market and retirement funds to sink even lower. However, if, in November, the Fed says that there is significant evidence of inflation slowing and either doesn't raise rates or does a small raise (say 0.25%), then the stock market will begin a massive rally right before the election. This will be massive for Democrats because it will let them say that their policy fixed inflation, and will let them point to the IRA regardless of what impact it actually had.

[Lord_Foxy]

It's almost like if you deliver materially for people and, they want to vote for you... SHOCKER 😒😒😒

[IsYitzach]

In addition to doing well, Trump has been reinserted into the news stream and we've been reminded why he was so bad.

[marilynlucero]

Traditionalism is inherently unsustainable in an ever changing and progressing society.

[xalpacazeu]

Sleepy Joe Arc, was soon followed with the Dark Brandon Arc.

[zacharydavis]

Thanks for spending the time to create and share this content

[adventofnull]

Ignore the polls. Vote like the country depends on it, because it does. Go register !