The Recession Signal Everyone's Ignoring | George Gammon

The real economic crash happens after the Federal Reserve rate cuts, says @GeorgeGammon , investor, entrepreneur and macroeconomics expert. "When you look at the yield curve, the crash rarely occurs when the curve is inverted," Gammon tells Kitco News anchor Jeremy Szafron on the sidelines of the New Orleans Investment Conference. "It usually occurs after the Fed starts dropping rates, and that's what makes the curve steepen out." Gammon explains the impact of Federal Reserve rate cuts and gives his outlook on inflation and the U.S. economy under Trump's administration. Gammon provides in-depth analysis on historical economic trends and current market conditions, emphasizing the importance of risk management and potential investment strategies. "The end game, if you just fast forward a year or two, is rarely a re-acceleration of consumer prices. It's usually disinflation. That's followed by an acceleration of inflation due to the response mechanism from the central planners," Gammon says.

#Fed #economy #recession #governmentspending

00:00 Introduction: Fed outlook
00:16 Federal Reserve Rate Cuts and Inflation
01:14 Historical Context of Rate Cuts
04:09 Current Economic Indicators and Predictions
08:09 Cultural Shifts and Economic Implications
20:38 Investment Strategies and Market Outlook
27:22 Gold and Commodities Analysis

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Disclaimer: The videos are not intended to provide trading advice, and the views expressed do not necessarily reflect those of Kitco Metals Inc. Kitco News, its anchors, producers, and reporters are not responsible in any way for the performance or actions of any sponsor, advertiser or affiliate of Kitco News. In no event will Kitco and its employees be held liable for any indirect, special, incidental, or consequential damages arising out of the use of the content in this video.

[nicolasbenson]

The recession is here, where do investors look at for wealth gains now? mortgage rates still on the rise with higher imports and lower exports, yet the Fed is to lessen cost. Something will eventually break if they keep raising interests and quantitative tightening.

[chrisadams]

I think George is one of the best educators out there. I love watching his videos explaining complex financial issues. It just turns out nothing he predicts ever happens...so far.

[THEMARK]

I love how George is not only about the free market, he is about freedom in general and not afraid to speak his mind

[theancientwinebeerexperime]

Just because rates get cut it doesn't mean that the Banks will be lending to the real economy.

[mydressmemos]

Coming out of facing alot, I knew two things about the stock market: It caused the Great Depression, and the fastest way to make a million on the markets was to start with two million. And then the Great Recession happened only a few years later. So yeah, I wish someone had better explained it to me earlier in life. Having a good entry and exit strategy will make you succeed in the stock market.

[bennyc]

George is getting better and sharper ! ! Bravo.

[BobB-wq]

This is the first man I have heard accurately observe that the recession hits not when the yield curve is inverted but later when it returns to the normal positive slope.

[strummer]

This guy's an idiot; $36 Trillion is a debt crisis. Did this guy get out of high school? In 2025 we will pay more than a Trillion dollars to service the interest on the debt. That's a crisis. That's a trillion that can't be used for defense, roads and bridges or if you prefer; liberal causes. $1 trillion on the debt is major crisis. He says because the government keeps spending like crazy; it means there is no debt crisis; his logic is that if we had a debt crisis then the government would be concerned and spend less. Well he's wrong. Our politicians are wreckless and just fight for their cities, towns and villages to get as much money as possible and very few politicians are smart enough to understand that they are ruining our current living standard and the future for our kids. $36 trillion in debt is the main cause of the horrible inflation

[jefcalitri]

Price miners in Gold. You will find it’s down 95% compared to physical gold. Buy Gold

[paulgame]

I stopped watching George after his gold video 12 months ago saying it will be the same price at the end of 2024 and it was at the end of 2023. You really need to question where he gets his research from.

[arandmorgan]

No, we have a debt problem and it isn't the spending. Derivatives debt alone is 193 trillion.

[Iksperial]

Isn't George Gammon predicting recession since 2018 every year? :D

[phil.s]

One of George's better interviews

[edakovaci]

George a great interview, you got to the point current problems

[inveritategloria]

Another excellent analysis by George Gammon.

[skydog]

Jeremy is definitely someone I would love to hang out with off camera. Like an old school newscaster but one who participates in the metascript for a living, but destroys its sanctity with a single glance for those with a keen eye.

[Cochran-jd]

Market highs can sometimes be followed by corrections, but predicting the timing and extent of it is challenging. I've heard some analysts talk about a 'massive' correction. It makes me wonder if it's time to adjust my $2M portfolios or maybe even consider some defensive investments.

[renerodriguez]

Unfortunately we will increase our debt by 4.5 Trillion dollars this coming year. But it sounds great for the one percent. Definitely
The Gold & Silver investment will go
Higher ❤

[sunjungsonne]

Why don't these deregulation enthusiasts ever mention that most of these evil rules and regulations are there for good reasons? For example to protect what needs protection: children, the elderly, nature, patients..

[trollsymctroll]

I haven’t given a penny to bank in 8 years, and my disposable income is 70%.

Thank you bald guy in TN.