Ukraine War Update NEWS (20241017b): Pt 1 - Overnight & Other News

Here is today's UWU NEWS giving you all the nuggets you need to add to your understanding of events.

Del's open-source Russian loss stats:

Check out this website of pro-Ukrainian inks:

Videos/sources:
Hits/losses

Strikes

CHAPTERS
-----------
00:00 Hello Team
00:09 Zelensky in Brussels
02:03 Ukrainian General Staff Report: Russian Losses (16/10/2024)
02:56 Andrew Perpetua: Visual Confirmed Losses (16/10/2024)
07:50 12th Special Purpose Brigade (Azov) Captures 24 Russian Soldiers
08:47 Conscript Killed in Kursk
10:08 Oryx: Russian Equipment Losses in Kursk Oblast
11:34 Estimating Ukrainian Losses
13:35 Possible Sabotage at St Petersburg Helicopter Factory
14:29 Ukrainian Tank Destroys Russian BTR-82A
15:25 Muddy Conditions Affecting Ukrainian Operations
15:56 FPV Drone Intercepts Russian Recon Drone
16:36 Front Line Updates
17:23 The Effectiveness of Drone Warfare
19:52 Russian Special Forces Colonel Shot Dead
21:09 Fire at Moscow Airfield
21:32 Dragon's Teeth Mystery
22:05 Overnight Drone and Missile Attacks
23:06 Ukrainian Strikes on Russian Territory
23:51 Russian Black Sea Fleet Ineffective?
24:11 Quick Fire Round-Up
26:32 Wrap Up

DISCLAIMER FOR GENERAL STAFF LOSS DATA
1) These are real people with real lives and real families who love them. Don’t let the numbers sap your humanity.
2) These numbers probably aren’t accurate but they’re the best we have and we don’t need them to be accurate to be indicative of patterns of activity.
3) All losses are estimates. Losses cannot be counted with accuracy because of the conditions on the ground.
4) Both sides would see it to be of their advantage to minimize their own losses maximize the other side’s losses.
5) Neither side releases their losses but we have enough transparency from the Ukrainian side to have confidence in they are indicative.
6) Personnel losses are hard to count. If a soldier gets injured, heals up, and returns to the front line only to get injured again, is that one loss or two? Also, how to deal with losses from PMC’s or soldiers fighting with RF from occupied territories?
7) Equipment losses are hard to count. If an AA complex involves several parts and one part gets disabled, is that a loss, or a fraction of a loss? If a tank gets disabled, repaired, back into the fight, then disabled again, is that one lost tank or two?
8) All recorded losses are vulnerable to multiple reporting. We have already seen numerous cases of multiple drones in the air reporting the same loss from different angles as multiple engagements.
9) Losses are not always reported on the same day they occurred. It is frequent that drone losses are reported at least 24 hours after other terrestrial equipment losses. Certain losses may not be reported for days or weeks for military intelligence reasons.

[warrenbaines]

Fair play for putting all thus together, what with the live episode, and family commitments. Appreciated.

[Wolfje]

Hi Team, Jonno and all others! Have a great Thursday!😊

[okeydokey]

For those Americans who think appeasement is the answer, they have, after 250 years, forgotten the famous American quote, "Give me Liberty, or give me death." And America didn't face near the horror that Ukraine is dealing with.

[fredzYo-swuh]

Family #1 priority! Gawd bless you Dr J!

[alexanderivanchenko]

Hi, Jonathan, 9:15 that's not a mere conscript, he was a member of the 76th airborne division from Pskov. This unit has been heavily involved in the war in Ukraine since 2014.

A couple of months ago, Anders Nielsen anticipated that Putin would gradually start throwing conscript into the battle (not only those whose units are stationed in Kursk region).

I think that's what is now happening: elite units spearheading the assaults are being bolstered with conscript paratroopers to replenish losses.

[WorldCitizen]

Please remember to LIKE!
Now its 48K subscribers! Thanks for this update.

[kevindevane]

Sorry to hear about your woes Johnatan, I hope you have power of Atorney between your siblings and you sorted. As long as everyone is onboard it's a remarkably straightforward process. Had to go through something similar recently and it was a great weight off my Parents shoulders.

[bobrichards]

G’day all 👍🏻🇦🇺🇺🇦🌻 congratulations on 48k JP 👍🏻☕️🫖

[richardbennett]

Good Afternoon Jonathan and the ATP team. Congratulations on 48k subscribers

[cloraformsgood]

President Zelensky telling it how it is.
Well said sir

[LadaGaga]

Thanks JP. Taking care of the family is the highest priority, thank you.

I love that Zelensky clip. A mic drop moment for sure. Similar to Kamala’s interview on Fox. She dropped the mic multiple times.

[erikjager]

To all non-Americans people, I live in the toss up state of North Carolina. Today was first day of early voting/mail in voting. In North Carolina mail-in/early voting can be done in only selected sites. There was a 2.5 hour cue for voting. It will shatter previous records. Harris benefits from early voting/mail-in votes. There was an official vote mailbox for the mail-in votes. A super long line of cars. Slava Ukraine!

[sirsmeal]

Big news:
The first U. S. aid delivered after Russia invaded gave Ukraine the Switchblade 100 and Switchblade 300. The second <secretly> gave Ukraine the Phoenix Ghost kamikaze. Now it is openly being discussed:
"The secretive Phoenix Ghost kamikaze drone, first developed for the U.S. Air Force and supplied to Ukraine in its ongoing fight against Russia, has finally emerged publicly. We now know for sure that Phoenix Ghost is not a single design, but a family of increasingly larger and longer-ranged one-way attack munitions from AEVEX Aerospace, some of which have been seen before, while at least one was only revealed this week.

AEVEX confirmed the connection between various kamikaze drones it offers and the Phoenix Ghost effort at the Association of the U.S. Army’s (AUSA) main annual symposium in Washington, D.C., this week. The Pentagon first announced Phoenix Ghost kamikaze drones provided by AEVEX would be headed to Ukraine back in 2022, but scant information about them had subsequently emerged before now."
...
"Among the specific kamikaze drones AEVEX has now disclosed as being part of the Phoenix Ghost family are Dominator and Disruptor, which are in the so-called Group 3 category. The U.S. military defines Group 3 drones as weighing between 55 and 1, 320 pounds, being able to fly at altitudes between 3, 500 and 18, 000 feet, and having top speeds of between 100 and 250 knots. While the Dominator was previously disclosed, Disruptor was only publicly unveiled this week.

Disruptor, which has a tubular carbon fiber main body, a pair of straight main wings, and a v-tail configuration, is 10.1 feet long and has a wingspan of 15.75 feet. It has a maximum takeoff weight of 185 pounds when launched pneumatically, but this can be increased to 205 pounds by using a rocket-assisted launch method. AEVEX also states that the Disruptor can be vehicle-launched, but has not provided any further details."
- The War Zone

[alandoherty]

Brilliant video as always thank you for all the information provided by your good self Glory to Ukraine Slava Ukraine pryvit keep smiling and be happy

[Peter-orwl]

Good that young conscript is no more, hope the parents will have much anger to the regime😊

[HarryJACKSON-fy]

Hi Jonathan what time are you talking to Jake Broe on Friday
Slava Ukraine ❤❤

[mitch]

I wondered if these prisoners exchange, how many if any Russian prisoners refuse or are reluctant to go back home.

[kenpreston]

Between 71 and 85000 troops removed since August.

[kim-ysfs]

i responded to a comment a few days back, which i can now see they got their info from the shown ukrainian losses in vid
they said 1.8 casulties etc
So out i came with all the blurb and maths, at the end i mentioned how last month ukraine gov/military made public official announcement that they increasing training FROM the current 3months (1 basic, 2 vocational) whereas ukrainian frontline soldiers and russian POW interviews confirm each other that russians are LUCKY if they get 3 weeks, most get half a week and there have been some who get less than a day of training before going to frontlines and i asked 'If ukraine is so desperate, why are they increasing their training time? why has russia shortened theirs?' i got no response

[billg]

Well done sir, well done: once again we see the levels of desperation the Russian forces are now at: how long until the entire force collapses?