Distinguished Speaker Series: Dennis Wilder on Stabilizing U.S.-China Relations

U.S.-China relations have entered the most difficult period since bilateral normalization in the 1970s. Security tensions are at risk of escalation, trade tensions remain unresolved, high-level dialogues are infrequent and inconsistent, and differences over the war in Ukraine are adding more strain to bilateral ties. Even so, a series of recent dialogues indicate the potential for a thaw in relations prior to Chinese President Xi Jinping’s possible visit to the United States for the Asia Pacific Economic Conference in November, 2023. What is driving tensions in U.S.-China relations? How can Washington and Beijing stabilize the relationship? Can China and the United States establish a sustainable framework for managing bilateral competition in the 21st century?

Paul Haenle will sit down with Dennis Wilder to examine current challenges in U.S.-China relations. This discussion is the third of Carnegie China's 2022 Distinguished Speakers Series and will also be recorded and published as a China in the World podcast.


The Carnegie Endowment advances international peace by leveraging its global network to shape debates and provide decisionmakers with independent insights and innovative ideas on the most consequential global threats and opportunities.



#foreignpolicy #CarnegieEndowment #china #unitedstates #uschina #uschinarelations

[truthmatters]

Well the US should not interfere in the internal affairs of other countries like China's Taiwan province.

[leisurecide]

Whats the point of negotiating with the current president when the next one will just reneg on the entire relationship. There is no stability in US political discourse.

[gangshan]

U.S. talks about democracy all the time, be equal to everybody; yet, are you treating China or middle easterners equal ?

[gangshan]

What response would U.S. do if a Chinese military ship sail close to your coast of California ? probably much more aggressive, isn't it?

[hyp-o-crite-]

politician want to find someone to blame

[navneet]

Paul aapka shukriya jis tarah se aapane Danish wilder ka Parichay Diya vakai heavyweight hai
South China sea us China relation us India relation quad aukas in sare subject per Danish builder ne bahut sahi jawab Diya
Lekin unhone Mr talis "us bad bit on India" but us support China since 30 years which sensitive technology and business support what results comes out for us and rest world?
In second world war the Indian troops help friendly Nations. Our forces fight against Japan and Germany. And secured the victory of us allies.
Time is changing India is boss of entire Indo Pacific region .
Us weak point Japan Taiwan and Australia . And a vital in middle East Israel. I am very sure that you cannot do any strategic action without India
Us always support military dictator of Pakistan and communist China
Why he take u turn why give sensitive technology why he create quad ?
Why he offering India to join NATO Plus ?
We already seen us strength and technology in Vietnam and Afghanistan. Due to some domestic reason our week political and democratic policies we are far behind to reach the technology. But in this government we try to recover our damages.
We will come back and give hard answer to China. Paul thank you for this grade panel and also your very wise questions. I am a Hindi speaking person from India please ignore my mistakes thank you

[gbhatia]

US had lost tremendous ground to China during Obama’s Presidency.
In 2012, China successfully penetrated 17 Central & Eastern European countries (China-CEEC or 17+1).
After Obama's public declaration to end combat operation in Afghanistan by 31st Dec. 2014, China acquired strategic access to Indian ocean through Pakistan’s illegally occupied territories of Baluchistan & Kashmir in August, 2015 (CPEC).
On the Pacific front, in 2012, China refused to vacate Philippines' Scarborough shoal island negating an agreement negotiated by Obama & Obama abandoned US Security Treaty Partner Philippines. That encouraged China to stealthily occupy Spratly Islands in April, 2015 to get control of strategic Indo-Pacific oceanic passage - both the strategic ocean passages acquired by China during Obama-tenure.
Instead of demanding China's withdrawal or putting punitive tariffs on Chinese goods, Xi Jinping was honored with welcome visit to White House where on Sept 25, 2015 he promised not to militarize illegally annexed Spratly Islands.! Xi then militarized them within 2 yrs.
Obama even gave China in 2012 control of America's strategic container port, the Long Beach port in California & called for formation of G2 with China.
China then increased nuclear-missile capability of N. Korea to threaten US mainland converting it into successful Cuba of 1962. Obama neither checkmated China strategically nor economically.
Now Biden’s full leap into Ukraine War provides China multifaceted benefits: It dilutes US efforts on China, keeps Biden hooked to Chinese imports to control US inflation with US trade deficit with China jumping 30% than the Trump year reaching record high of $404bn in 2022 while increased Russian dependence on China due to Western sanctions provides immense economic & strategic support to China. China is also one of the largest markets for US manufactures & products. This makes US mortally dependent on China. No wonder, US has to change economic decoupling to economic de-risking.
NATO allies of the US are also suffering from high energy prices, unprecedented inflation, economic down-slide & street agitations due to Ukraine War. Sanctions against Russia are at maximum & the people in the West can’t bear any more. Xi knows it & has refused military to military level engagement with US. Jinping may be perceiving it a right time to annex Taiwan. Should that happen, Biden's fueling Ukraine War instead of fully concentrating on China will become the historic Biden blunder of USA.