9/16/2015 -- Large M8.3 Earthquake Strikes Chile -- Tsunami warning issued -- Pacific Unrest Obvious

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A large M8.3 earthquake has struck off the Coast of Chile , South of the Peru border near Valparaiso. A tsunami warning was issued for the Pacific ocean.

The Tsunami turned out to be 12 feet high *4 meters -- struck the coast of Chile.

Track the buoy movement here:

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I was expecting major activity to strike Chile this week (as I said in the forecast video).

The most recent global earthquake forecast was calling for a large volcanic eruption strike South Chile this week.. instead.. a large magnitude 8.3 earthquake has now struck South Chile.

See the forecast here:

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I was expecting an eruption with a swarm of M5.0's.. instead a M8.3 struck..

Watch for eruption activity in the area just in case.

Talking about Chile twice in this most recent forecast video.. once at the beginning .. once at the end .. forecast video is linked below for you to review.

I'd also like to point out that Soloman sea was struck as expected with a M6.2, and Taiwan was struck by TWO mid M5.0 earthquakes.

Soloman Sea was forecast to see a mid-M6.0 and Taiwan was forecast for upper M5.0 to lower M6.0. Both hit dead on.

I'm not shocked to see an M8.3 on the East Pacific quite frankly.... since the other two M6.0 this morning in the Philippines + Soloman Sea , and the M4.5 near Los Angeles California were pointing to major unrest brewing on the Pacific plate.

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Warning from the Pacific Tsunami Warning Center as of 700pm CDT , September 16, 2015:

PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------

* MAGNITUDE 8.3
* ORIGIN TIME 2254 UTC SEP 16 2015
* COORDINATES 31.5 SOUTH 72.0 WEST
* DEPTH 10 KM / 6 MILES
* LOCATION NEAR THE COAST OF CENTRAL CHILE

EVALUATION
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* AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 8.3 OCCURRED
NEAR THE COAST OF CENTRAL CHILE AT 2254 UTC ON WEDNESDAY
SEPTEMBER 16 2015.

* BASED ON ALL AVAILABLE DATA... HAZARDOUS TSUNAMI WAVES ARE
FORECAST FOR SOME COASTS.

TSUNAMI THREAT FORECAST...UPDATED
---------------------------------

* TSUNAMI WAVES REACHING MORE THAN 3 METERS ABOVE THE TIDE
LEVEL ARE POSSIBLE ALONG SOME COASTS OF

CHILE.

* TSUNAMI WAVES REACHING 1 TO 3 METERS ABOVE THE TIDE LEVEL ARE
POSSIBLE ALONG SOME COASTS OF

FRENCH POLYNESIA.

* TSUNAMI WAVES REACHING 0.3 TO 1 METERS ABOVE THE TIDE LEVEL
ARE POSSIBLE FOR SOME COASTS OF

MEXICO... ECUADOR... PERU... ANTARCTICA... JAPAN... NEW
CALEDONIA... NEW ZEALAND... MARSHALL ISLANDS... FIJI... SAMOA...
AMERICAN SAMOA... COOK ISLANDS... TOKELAU... VANUATU...
KIRIBATI... JOHNSTON ISLAND... PALMYRA ISLAND... HOWLAND AND
BAKER... TONGA... WALLIS AND FUTUNA... PITCAIRN ISLANDS...
NIUE... SOLOMON ISLANDS... RUSSIA... HAWAII... AND NW HAWAIIAN
ISLANDS.

* TSUNAMI WAVES ARE FORECAST TO BE LESS THAN 0.3 METERS ABOVE
THE TIDE LEVEL FOR THE COASTS OF

EL SALVADOR... GUATEMALA... HONDURAS... COSTA RICA...
NICARAGUA... PANAMA... COLOMBIA... AUSTRALIA... PHILIPPINES...
TAIWAN... CHINA... NORTHERN MARIANAS... GUAM... PALAU... YAP...
POHNPEI... CHUUK... KOSRAE... NAURU... WAKE ISLAND... MIDWAY
ISLAND... JARVIS ISLAND... TUVALU... PAPUA NEW GUINEA...
INDONESIA... VIETNAM... MALAYSIA... AND BRUNEI.

* ACTUAL AMPLITUDES AT THE COAST MAY VARY FROM FORECAST
AMPLITUDES DUE TO UNCERTAINTIES IN THE FORECAST AND LOCAL
FEATURES. IN PARTICULAR MAXIMUM TSUNAMI AMPLITUDES ON ATOLLS
WILL LIKELY BE MUCH SMALLER THAN THE FORECAST INDICATES.

* FOR OTHER AREAS COVERED BY THIS PRODUCT A FORECAST HAS NOT
YET BEEN COMPUTED. THE FORECAST WILL BE EXPANDED AS NECESSARY
IN SUBSEQUENT PRODUCTS.
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50 miles from my house. Felt like the house was going to come down.. We have had several aftershocks so far..

ekphotography
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I'm Chilean and I live 3 hours from the epicenter (a city called Illapel), and aside from the scared people on the streets (I was
downtown heading home from work) nothing else mayor happened, not even a power cut. We're so used to this here that the we have earthquakess resistant structures and the people know what to do, is in our culture now (we learned the hard way in 2010).

There's not going to be a Tsunami, just a lot of violent waves in the coast, but the evacuation is part of the normal procedure. The only mayor problems are happening in the epicenter, Illapel, there's one confirmed deceased person for now.

sleepyazathoth
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Thank you Dutchsinse! My sister lives in Chile with her two wanderful kids and I've just talked to them. They are all well, they have power, phone, running water in Santiago. You were the first to bring the news. You are great, man !!!

RaduP
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i live near Valparaiso....wasnt as bad as the one 5 years ago...but it was still pretty frightening. good coverage DS

AyahuascaMagic
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Large quake with many strong aftershocks in Illepal, Chile tonight. Tsunami warnings in place all up the west coast up to Alaska, Hawaii and even as far as New Zealand
Peace Y

kevinbauer
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Thank you for the good work you do Dutchsince

alliancedie
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Thank-you for the upload and update Dutch, Chile is continuing to get rocked with ( I hope ) aftershocks the Tsunami warning has been greatly extended. Hawaii, New Zealand, California all the way up to Alaska. At this time I have counted 14 Quakes including the 8.3. almost half were in the 6 + range with the rest all over the place in the 5 + Magnitude range.
Peace Y

kevinbauer
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Dutch, thanks for your quick response to this quake. I keep USGS open all the time... I have a granddaughter who lives in Kihei, Maui. Where can I monitor the tsunami threat?

sandytaylor
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how long has it been for a 4.0 (downed from 4.5 ) in cally?

mr-mzed
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Thank you Dutchsinse for reporting on this. Much love to you also & your family.

kittieify
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There ended up being tsunami warnings for Hawaii and South California coasts.

JJtoob
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Something is headed Southern California's way...these strange weather patterns of extreme heat combined with 70-90% humidity then these 1-2 hour flash rain showers that were nowhere in the weather forecast...I can feel it, California is going to get hit with a 6.+ earthquake very soon

JohnCorleone
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As usual, a lot of your forecasts were spot on. Taiwan, then eastern CA with the Big Bear Lake quake and instead of Poland Romania got hit, close enough for me. Thanks Dutch.

pamelafeather
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from the USGS emails the 7.9 was revised up to 8.3

Tatiacha
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Mendoza Argentina 7.6 we felt it very strong!

ninitun
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Thanks for keeping us updated. Awesome info :)

dannyroberts
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So, do you think this released the tension, or is there still a big one building up around the pacific?

alaskankare
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Here in Santiago, Chile it made almost no damage, the movement was wide but slow, if you compare it to the 2010 earthquake, this one was nothing.

ignasanchezl
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it seems that the pressure is usually released before cally is hit, or they are just worse faults or different idk

mr-mzed
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Thanks, Dutch!!! God bless you and keep you safe.

VandenbergGSDs