Analyzing the polls in key battleground states ahead of 2024 presidential election | Talking Points

Analysts say national polls that show how tight the race is between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are not key indicators ahead of the election.

Instead, they say your focus should be on polls in the battleground states since the winner of the presidency is not determined by the popular vote, but by the electoral college.

In this episode of Talking Points, Esme Murphy talks with Hamline University professor David Schultz, University of Minnesota professor Larry Jacobs, Democratic strategist Abou Amara and Republican strategist Amy Koch.

0:00 Intro
2:30 Battleground states and swing voters
6:00 National poll talk
14:00 Democratic campaign strategy
18:00 Republican campaign strategy

#election #trump #harris #campaign #vote

[YohannesMadeIT]

The polls said that Clinton would beat trump, because the system wanted Hillary to win. We expect for Harris to lead most of the time in the election in the polls because the system wants Harris to win, not trump. I voted early for trump as a black disabled combat veteran. When Harris was leading by 5 points you guys didn’t put this video out, you wait until Harris loses points to post this. We see your what your doing 😂😂😂😂

[MrPauly-idmk]

I’m here for the comments, can’t trust media.

[Robsan]

RFK, Tulsi, Elon and me for Trump/Vance 🏆

[kenparks]

Why are you not talking about the past error factors and had and continue to take place today? Also you need to look at over sampling one party over the other.

[simonnaylor]

Make sure you all get out and vote TRUMP

[DelendaEstCarthago]

Sure, margin of error...I get it. But what about a sustained upward trend in a candidate's poll results? I think that is less easy to explain away.

[holly]

Hypothetically, if say, a registered Democrat voted early, but did not vote Democrat; the polls would be counting it as a probable Democratic vote. But it is not.
I think a fair amount of Dems may have voted Unity. Even a small percentage could make a difference; that is my hope anyway.

[David-hhm]

Poll's are not an accurate gage. The reason why I say that is it's based upon those who wish to participate in the polls. It can be also because of the way the votes are going but votes change day by day hour by hour. So to be accurate people will have to wait and see what pops up at the end on November 5th

[kellys]

The electoral college has got to go. This isn’t right.

[unelectedleader]

There is no such thing as the national popular vote. Elections occur state by state, and each state has a popular vote. You can go ahead and tally the number if you like, but it’s not a thing. You confuse your audience when you speak about it because you just made it up. It’s never been a thing. It’s not a thing. The US has no nationwide election or ballot issue/referenda.

[RiyaRahman-up]

Please, please 🙏 vote for trump for better economy, trump 2024 🇺🇸🗳️❤️

[thomaswesterman]

End all federal income tax -end funding wars

[MNickH]

The side that says it’s too close, a tossup, within the margin of error, it’s usually the side that sees themselves behind in there much more accurate internal polls. If you listen to the GOP chats, they are much more confident.

[speedrunfantasychess]

The polls are not showing new registrations — women under 30 (Swiftie vote) have huge new registrations in the battle grounds.

[jyy]

American Chinese for Trump. ❤Only Trump can save America.

[tracy]

Make America affordable again! Trump 2024!

[jamesrogers]

Lol Race?
Its like minnie mouse vs Superman.
The country votes Trump for a secure geat future!😢

[wildstar]

Five thirty-eight is a reliable poll information site out there. It has also been very accurate in the past.

[JM-onxy]

This guy is an absolute fool. Anyone who knows statistics know that when multiple polls are shifting in one direction, clearly there is a difference and a trend.

[timkahn]

if the people chose and not the 1804 congress with the electoral college all this nothing talk would stop. and we would be back at by and for the people.