Big Ideas 2023 | Technological Convergence: Creating the Potential for Super Exponential Growth

According to ARK’s research, five innovation platforms are converging to create unprecedented growth trajectories. Artificial Intelligence is the most important catalyst, its velocity cascading through all other technologies. The market value of disruptive innovation platforms could scale 40% at an annual rate during this business cycle, from $13 trillion today to $200 trillion by 2030. In 2030, the market value associated with disruptive innovation could account for the majority of the global equity market capitalization. Listen in as Brett Winton, ARK Chief Futurist, explains more.

To enlighten investors on the long-term impact of innovation, we began publishing Big Ideas in 2017. This annual research report seeks to highlight the technological breakthroughs evolving today and creating the potential for super-exponential growth tomorrow.

We believe that innovation is taking off now, corroborating our original research and boosting our confidence that ARK’s strategies are on the right side of change. We hope you enjoy Big Ideas 2023!


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[fredwikstrom]

Tank you for a mindblowing glimpse into the future

[lesliedeming]

This was fantastic, thank you Brett & ARK!

[williamstijns]

Great view on disruptive technologies.... mapping to businesses could be really interesting!

[rajaradhakrisnan]

I believe in auntie Cathie and her staff ❤️

[farsight]

I was wondering about the updates on how the tech might combine. Thanks and keep it up!

[-Deadline-]

LOVE THIS! Keep up the very good work! ❤

[sirus]

ARK living up to its name. Loading us up all to get crushed

[bengyal]

Curious if TCO calculations for electric vs ICE vehicles factor in present value of money? The high upfront cost of electric means that you can't invest those $ in the market, so the opportunity cost is significant and I think the reason that a lot of people aren't comfortable making the change yet. If I have to take money out of my investments to put it in my vehicle, are the lost returns for the next 5-10 years included in the cost comparison?

[octavius]

What software does Ark uses for these types of data visualizations

[ksp]

Cord cutting is not cheaper than bundled cable. Its about the same

[Steven-]

Given that LLM's training cost are falling at 70% per annum, does the 10x reduction in Open API's api price for building on top of their LLM allow them to accelerate their cost reduction?

[steevee]

The unintended result of having much of the cars that are currently being parked most of the day is that the morning rush hour level of traffic will be present all day.

[gentrybrown]

When will ArkG buy DRRX? Epigenomic methylation play…

[prafullchaudhari]

Would love to listen more about 3d Printing, is it really bringing the value in manufacturing

[akhtarmohana]

Older companies will buy the disruptors

[bobsalita]

I predict Brett Winton will continue to improve as a speaker 30% y-o-y.

[SmithnWesson]

I noticed that you completely ignored quantum computing.

That is very unfortunate.

Although you might be able to ignore it this year, you can't ignore it forever.

Quantum computing is coming, and maybe sooner than you think.

It will affect several other technologies that you've mentioned.

It will tie in with artificial intelligence. Both for training and for real time evaluation.

It will tie in with advanced battery technology. IONQ now working with Hyundai on that.

It will have impacts in chemistry and all pharmaceutical science.

It will have impacts in material science, theoretical physics, applied physics, logistics.

And many other areas.

Don't ignore it.

[kurtspenser]

It appears that Your subscription media stack doesn’t include nearly 90 of the top 100 watched broadcasts of the past year. Needs serious revision and reconsideration of the splintering of the sports and local media landscape and the value equation. Not there yet. Not correct on your current assumptions.

[markisganitis]

My financial losses in ARK have far exceeded all my other investments combined. Why should I continue with ARK?

[WillofNewZealand]

Ive just finnished working with a new version of a chat gpt.
Consider it couldnt search net now.
It couldnt put words in alphabetical order. Cant put dates in order.
Our current other business search engines right now in use are plus or minus 5 years, Thats being used for medical health care searches.
Exact text is also a fail.
The super computer, Ai, quantum pc, are still closer to a kids toy than a adult business use tool.
I vetted over 56 business sites, some with user numbers in the millions, vetted the main search engines. Even putting words in alphabetical order is faulty.
In business we must be 100% correct or be closed down if we make just 1 single error.
Close downs are very stressful to.
Yet the current systems are as discribed.