Does Ukraine even need another big offensive in 2024?

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Video tries to answer whether Ukraine needs to try going for another big offensive in 2024.
Will it go for it? Should it try going for it? Why might it want to wait? Why might it not be able to wait? The video tries to cover all those questions. Plus what’s needed for its success, the chances that Ukraine will get all that’s needed for a 2024 offensive, and the option for a long game war, in case the offensive is not in the cards.

00:00 intro
01:48 The variables
04:24 Fortifications?
05:34 Equipment means artillery
08:26 Control of the skies
10:31 A rushed offensive
11:41 What if 2024 is skipped?
14:16 Future plans

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[Binkov]

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[mcmouse]

Some of you in the comments really need to exercise looking at a situation objectively and not just letting your hopes and dreams run wild.

[Superintendent]

I'll never understand this comment section, you have people saying he's simping for Putin, you have people saying he's simping for Ukraine. Which one is it?

[ballgang]

How the fuck are they gonna do an offensive without air superiority?

[jamielondon]

Good video!
Small point on language: "All bets are off the table" is a mix of two phrases:
- All bets are off. = No one can predict the outcome. (probably what you meant)
- XYZ is off the table. = This is not an issue / may/will not be discussed.

[akrupnov]

Binkov: "You can choose a real county to play".
Also Binkov: Plays as Poland in WW1

[christineshotton]

Without air superiority this will never be anything other than a meat grinder.

[MrFalut]

"2024 is not crucial"

Tell me this this war is a stalemate without telling me this war is a stalemate.

[grandmastersreaction]

People need to seriously start questioning why the United States and The European Union can’t produce more than double the amount of artillery shells than The Russian Federation can. 63k shells vs >300k for Russia? Seriously? Why can’t The EU even match Russia?

[ScottxProductions]

"Large offensives aren't working" into "Ukraine needs another large offensive". Bruh...

[funkmonkeyfun]

This video couldn’t have been further off what is actually happening on the ground.

[mephisto]

Wow, the comment section is full of Russian Bots. You seem to do something right here, Binkov, when they get triggered this hard. ;)

[MichaelElfial]

The problem of propaganda is if continues too long the propagandists start to believe it

[rti]

What We found out in 2023 is that it is impossible to break through the entrenched and mined positions without air superiority.
I think that the Western camp is doing the foolish policy of sequential introduction of forces in fear of nuclear intimidation.
In order to win, it is necessary to have enough equipment to be able to win.

[seraphx]

Whether Ukraine needs another offensive is a theoretical question, the relevant issue is that Ukraine doesn't have the man power to put another offensive together.

[-r-]

I wonder what impact the GLSDB will have.
They obviously didn’t get to the best start but that was to be expected with the boosters and interfacing is not trivial.
On the other hand: It is the mass that likely will make a big difference as soon as the validation procedures have been worked through a few times and the worker „getting the knick“.

The investment is set and the UK and the other JEF members are united.

[jasonsessler]

This war will be one by the side who develops the ability to attack in bad weather.
With the number of drones, cameras and listening devices on the modern battlefield the ability for surprise has been largely eliminated.
This means the ideal conditions for attack are now conditions that drones can operate and video and audio have reduced visibility.
Since the start of this war everyone has treated the weather as if it's still the 1700's.
In reality militaries who can advance through bad weather have a tactical advantage.
D-Day, took place during a huge series of storms. The second invasion of Iraq occurred in a sandstorm.. Russias counterstrike at Stalingrad in the middle of winter.
A summer attack in beautiful weather is now the wrong time to conduct operations.

[bixbysnyder-]

"713 days into my 3-day special limited military operation. I am still master strategist."
-Vladimir Putin

[ZLV-bgzg]

And despite all odds Ukraine decided to do the thing no one even would have guessed. Right in the heat of all-front-stretched russian offensive and despite an apparent manpower shortage it just fucking lobbed the hella bulk of its most capable forces in direction totally opposite from there. Like, yea - to divert russian forces from overwhelmed areas, but it was too risky - they could've just waited a bit. Damn, if they'd attempted even same massed incursion but into some action-lacking part of current front instead there'd be less risk.
And as i said there that "it was too risky"... Well, just check allat now - oh it sure as hell actually proved that way

[johnclay]

Every Ukraine-War comment section
>UKRONAZI BOTS!
>VATNIK BOTS!
>THIS IS UKRAINIAN PROPAGANDA
>THIS IS RUSSIAN PROPAGANDA