How Nvidia Lost $1.2 Trillion In 46 Days

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Nvidia has experienced one of the most explosive moves ever seen in the stock market. The company has managed grown $1 trillion in 31 days, 12x within 20 months, and 265x within 10 years. While Nvidia has managed to achieve impressive fundamental growth along the way, it doesn’t quite line up with how much Nvidia stock has grown in the same time period. In fact, there are quite a few frightening similarities with Cisco during the dot-com bubble. For starters, Cisco was seen as the company that was selling the shovels for the internet boom and Nvidia is seen as the company that’s selling shovels for the AI boom. Moreover, both companies drove substantial revenue from startups with very little real revenue or cash flow. This video explains the various red flags regarding Nvidia’s recent run-up and why a mega crash of 70% or above may be right around the corner.

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Timestamps:
0:00 - A Bet Against Nvidia
0:40 - The Need For GPUS
2:23 - How We Got Here
6:39 - The Tale Of Cisco
8:45 - An Impending Crash
13:20 - The Grand Prediction

Resources:

Disclaimer:
This video is not a solicitation or personal financial advice. All investing involves risk. Please do your own research.

[LogicallyAnswered]

For those of you interested in the details of the trade:

June 18, 2024: Day Nvidia become worlds largest company momentarily
Purchased 100 $30 12/18/2026 put options for $9, 000

August 5, 2024: Japanese carry trade capitulation day
Sold 100 $30 12/18/2026 put options for $25, 000

I plan to double down on my position at the end of this year. Will keep this comment updated.

Disclosure: I am a SEC registered financial advisor, but this is NOT financial advice.

[dlanor]

Next video: How Nvidia gained $1.2 Trillion In 21 Days

[RealTechnoPanda]

Yes it's going to crash by 90% ! Everyone sell quickly so that I can buy cheap ..

[themarksmith]

'Markets can remain irrational far longer than you can remain solvent...' a quote by some bloke in the past...

[seeranos]

Careful my man. Don't want to be another finance youtuber giving financial advice.

[kwan]

Honestly, Tesla stock price is much much worse than Nvidia when talking about fundamentals.

[serioserkanalname]

I'd never short a company with hype behind it after GameStop but gl

[phoenixrising]

Are you sure you meant Nvidia, I think Intel is the one having the Cisco moment right now with all 13/14th gen processors cooking themselves and investors dumping Intel. AI will soon plateau, just like cloud was the fad in the 2010s.

[TravisBlack]

..okay but at what point in this video did you explain to us "How Nvidia Lost $1.2 Trillion In 46 Days"? I just sat through 15 minutes of what made Nvidia so big, and you talking about your previous predictions, but at no point was the video's title addressed whatsoever.

[ira]

just to throw something out, stock value isn't the same as how the company is doing. Nvidia is very rich and even if AI vanished tomorrow it'd still be very profitable. Being overvalued doesn't mean the company is doomed.

[anatolydyatlov]

Long story short, Nvidia's stock is going to crash because Cisco experienced it over 20 years ago as well.

[Srt.p]

Shorting Nvidia is not a good idea, Markets can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent.

[КГБКолДжорджКостанца]

Then an old man walked up to me and said, "ya know whatever will be will be"

[RaoBlackWellizedArman]

"Nvidia should be the largest company."
"Nvidia should not be the largest company."
Logically answered!

[mwat]

Nvidia simultaneously killed gaming by making gpus expensive thus killing the very market driving the innovation

[AlvaXOXO]

Turns out filling the internet with AI spam isn't actually valuable.

[KellarHalen]

One thing I have learned about the stock market is that it is very very manipulated. It will not let investors know when it go up or down. It will always do the opposite what investors think it might do... If investors can figure out what the market is going to do, companies will go bankruptcy.... So I don't waste my time and energy to bother what the market is going to for me .. Long & short-term trading is generally safer, allowing investors to weather market volatility. I have managed to grow a nest egg of around 100k to a decent 432k in the space of a few months... I'm especially grateful to Kerrie Farrell, whose deep expertise and traditional trading acumen have been invaluable in this challenging, ever-evolving financial landscape...

[tomlxyz]

better question: how nvidia even got to trillions

[Authoratah]

The relaxed CEO dress code is getting out of outfit is like a wannabe weekend biker

[jmtradbr]

if the favorite shovel seller in the gold rush is starting to lose money, you know it's a bubble