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The Polling Problem: Yphtach Lelkes on Why Political Polls Can Be Misleading
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In recent years, we've seen a trend toward probabilistic political polls that tell us the percentage chance that a candidate will win the election. As happened with Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump in 2016, often these numbers show a strong likelihood that one candidate will win, despite the actual percentages of voters being quite close. Annenberg School for Communication Assistant Professor Yphtach Lelkes breaks down this polling problem, and explains why this type of misleading polling leads to political hobbyism and can even swing the results of an election.
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