Is This Still a Major Recession Warning?

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One of the most popular recession indicators in recent years has been the Sahm Rule. It's been able to signal a recession much earlier than other common indicators. At the moment it's very close to triggering a recession warning, but is this time different to before? Is this warning going to be the same as previous times?

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When do you think rate cuts will happen and how soon do you think that rate cut expectation will be priced into the market?

Mustafaa
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