1% of Polymarket Bettors Are Boosting Trump's Odds

Since Sept. 1, more than 102,000 Polymarket users have bet on whether Donald Trump or Kamala Harris will be the next president of the United States, propelling Trump’s likelihood of victory to a high of 66.4% on Tuesday despite polls remaining close. Bloomberg News' Emily Nicolle has more.
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[samsmith]

What are you talking about? Every betting site has trump way up lol

[Leonhart_]

Since like 1900 the betting favorite only lost 2 times, one of them being 2016. It's a pretty damning indicator.

[nancyj]

LOL: copium. So who is boosting the other 7 betting markets?

[OCPARKWAY]

Trump is the betting favorite..Doesn't mean anything because Hillary was the favorite in 2016 and she lost in 2016 of course..

[hh-xs]

The media would say betting markets accurate if Harris was winning. Americans so sick of the bias and trying to control what we think

[james-obrz]

There was a poll on a live cnn Channel trump 70%

[hodleth]

Emily makes it really hard for me to not shame something about her.

[stephensarmento]

So they are boosting all the markets odds? It isnt just polymarket lmao. The cope is real

[Channel--Ai]

3% is how much the most would move based on top 4 holders.

[JulianeLlerena]

Thanks for the breakdown! A bit off-topic, but I wanted to ask: I have a SafePal wallet with USDT, and I have the seed phrase. (alarm fetch churn bridge exercise tape speak race clerk couch crater letter). What's the best way to send them to Binance?

[clinttube]

This story is literally the opposite of reality according to Kalshi. Median Harris bet = $85. Median Trump bet = $58. Every median IQR of bet size is higher for Harris. Those are Americans making those bets. So what this "story" is trying to tell you is false. Why does Harris trade even higher on PredictIt than Trump on Polymatket? It's due to absurd transaction costs and inability to arbitrage.

[stop_lying_to_me]

During Donald Trump's presidency, the inflation rate rose 7.75%. 4 of the top 5 states with the highest inflation rate? The Republican-led states of Florida, Tennessee, South Carolina, and Alabama.