Abhijit Iyer-Mitra Unfiltered! - How Close Are We to World War 3? Israel, Iran, Ukraine | ACP 72

Abhijit Iyer-Mitra is a prominent Indian geopolitical expert known for his outspoken and often controversial views on defense, security, and foreign policy. With a background in defense studies, he frequently contributes to discussions on strategic affairs, emphasizing India's military and technological capabilities. Abhijit is a senior fellow at the Institute of Peace and Conflict Studies in New Delhi and has testified before the Indian Parliament on matters of critical national interest. His expertise is regularly sought in media and academic circles, where he provides analysis on complex international relations and defense issues, bringing a sharp and candid perspective to the geopolitical dialogue.

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In today’s podcast with Mr. Abhijit Iyer Mitra, we delve into a detailed analysis of military and intelligence failures related to deterrence strategies, particularly focusing on the historical context and recent events involving Israel and Hamas. Abhijit discusses the perceived failure of deterrence since the 2006 Lebanon War, suggesting that deterrence might not be effective against organizations like Hamas, described as a "death cult." The video explores the tactical and intelligence lapses that allowed Hamas to execute a well-planned attack on Israel, critiquing the reliance on static defenses, which history shows to be ineffective, as evidenced by the Great Wall of China and the Maginot Line.

Additionally, the discussion touches on the modern implications of ancient practices of child sacrifice in the context of Hamas's tactics, suggesting a deep-rooted cultural continuation that impacts current conflict dynamics. AIM also provides a technical breakdown of the October 7 attack, highlighting the sequential failures of Israeli defenses and the sophisticated planning by Hamas. The video concludes with thoughts on the future of Israeli security strategies, emphasizing the need for a shift from traditional concepts of deterrence to more dynamic and proactive defense mechanisms.

Timestamps:

00:00 - Introduction
01:15 - Israel's view on deterrence and past conflicts
02:26 - History of child sacrifice in certain cultures
07:06 - Hamas using hostages as deterrents
09:22 - Intelligence failure in recognizing threat signals
13:51 - Intelligence failures that led to Hamas attack
15:56 - What should Israel do?
19:57 - Civilian casualties and Hamas involvement in conflict
22:02 - Israel's strategy towards Hezbollah and recent strikes
34:02 - Armenia's geopolitical choices and Iran's support
45:57 - Russia's strategy in Ukraine conflict
49:59 - Potential objectives of Xi Jinping
55:28 - Potential scenarios of India-China war
01:14:46 - Russia facing pressure from China
01:18:49 - Increasing reliance on Russian commodities
01:20:53 - America's failure to see unwinnable war in Ukraine
01:25:12 - Pakistan should be psychologically pacified for stability
01:27:09 - Pakistan's lack of leverage on US
01:33:25 - NRI's need for validation leads to overboard loyalty
01:37:32 - Criticism of foreigners claiming to know India better
01:43:41 - End

About:

The Abhijit Chavda channel is an expansive library of content that offers insights into geopolitics, contemporary world affairs and history from an Indian perspective.

Abhijit Chavda's unique research-backed worldview has made him one of the strongest voices in the Indian Digital Space, and he has represented India at international forums, including the G20 summit.

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[MsAbhaysana]

Nehru's miracles
1. Rejected a permanent seat at the UN
2. Rejected Nepal’s offer to join Bharat
3. Rejected Balochistan’s offer to join Bharat
4. Created the Kashmir issue
5. Presided over the disastrous Sino-Bharat war
6. Refusal To Enter Nuclear Deal
7. Nehru rejected a US offer of helping Bharat with the development of a nuclear device in 1964 perhaps because he was a proponent of
non-violence. 
8. Led the ill-conceived Non-Aligned Movement
9. Indifference towards Goa
10. Favoured Socialism instead of free-market Capitalism.
11. Ignored Corruption
12. Clung to Power for too long
13. Curbed journalistic freedom and freedom of expression
14. Failure to encourage, promote and implement universal primary education
15. Toppled democratically elected Kerala government in 1957
16. Gifted Pakistan
17. Didn't allow Sardar Patel to be the PM
18. Gifting Manipur's Kabo valley to Burma
19. Gifting the strategically located Coco Islands to Burma
20. Refusing the Sultan of Oman's gift of Gwadar port
21. Giving up on Tibet, placing Bharat's water security and northern border at China's mercy
22. Signing the most unequal treaty in history
in 1960, PM Nehru, for the sake of "friendship" and "goodwill" signed one of the most unequal, lopsided treaties ever — the Indus Waters Treaty, giving Pakistan ownership of over three-fourths of the water that flows through the Indus System of Rivers located in Bharat. Pakistan reciprocated Nehru's gesture of goodwill by invading Bharat just five years later.
23. Hostility towards Sardar Patel's restoration of the Somnath Temple
24. Obstructing Sardar Patel's plan to liberate Hyderabad from the murderous Nizam
25. Nehru had a total impractical approach to integrating Kashmir with rest of Bharat. He didn't allow Sardar Patel to deal with Kashmir issue. Patel was quite successful in integrating other troubled regions such as Hyderabad Nizam's province with Bharat.
26. During the Bharat-Pak war of 1948 when Bharat was gaining back the Kashmir captured by the invaders, he prematurely went to the UN Security Council. This was a great strategic mistake. Bharat now wants to distance itself from 3rd party intervention in the dispute and the UN resolutions on this, but it is Nehru who did it in the first place. 
27. Moreover, We were winning the war against CHlN but Nehru didn't allow Bhartiya Air Force to participate and we lost Aksai Chin area
28. No Initiative on Sri Lankan Tamil Problem
29. Giving Away 55 Crores to Pakistan
30. Usurping Congress Presidentship in 1929
31. Nehru’s Undemocratic Elevation as the First PM
32. Unplanned & Grossly Mismanaged Partition
33. Article-370 thanks to Nehru
34. Article 35A for J&K, Again thanks to Nehru
35. Ignoring Illegal
Pr0seIytization
36. Neglect of Agriculture
37. Throttled Industrialisation
38. Messy Reorganisation of States
39. Messing Up the Language Issue, Promoting Urdu & Persian-Arabic Script, Neglect of Sanskrit
40. Setting Jinnah on Path to Pakistan
41. Nehru–Liaquat Pact 1950
42. Erroneous Nehru-Era Map
43. Rebuffing Israel, the Friend-in-Need
44. Scoring Self-Goal—Ministry Resignations, 1939
45. Assam’s Security Compromised
46. Aborted ‘Cabinet Mission Plan’ for United Bharat
47. NWFP Blunder 1946
48. Distorted, Self-Serving Secularism & Minorityism
49. Not Seeking Reparations from the British
Nehru and the Distortion of Bhartiya History & Heritage
50. Paying Respects to Babar
51. Nehru & Netaji's Stolen War Chest
52. Gross Treatment of INA
53. Gross Treatment of Netąji Bose
54. Gross Treatment of Bhagat Singh & Azad
55. Gross Treatment of Veer Savarkar
56. Gross Treatment of Sardar Patel
57. Gross Treatment of Sardar Patel's Daughter Maniben
58. Gross Treatment of Ambedkar
59. Gross Treatment of Dr Shyama Prasad Mukherjee
60. Gross Treatment of Dr Rajendra Prasad
61. Gross Treatment of PD Tandon
62. Gross Treatment of Bordoloi
63. Gross Treatment of General Thimayya
64. Gross Treatment of Public
65. Special Treatment for Edwina Mountbatten

[rawman]

What a gem. This gentleman is very knowledgeable. All the best from American Israeli.
Amazing, but India has many really good analysts and they understand the full picture. Hats off

[Yazzpatel]

the line, "indira was 10x more man than her father ever was." completely agreed

[sreez]

My two absolute favorite Abhijits. A great combination of deep geopolitical wisdom, humor and sarcasm. God bless both of you and a great appreciation for your hard work of educating us.

[sharadkane]

Abhijit ji. Take care of your health, sir. Please reduce your weight. Eat healthy food.
You are a precious person. We need you alive and active for many more years.

[akshaytakkar]

3:37 "To the modern mind, it just sounds so horrific. Where we don't realise that there are still people around with this kind of obsolete bronze or stone age mindset that has still survived into the modern day and age". This statement is very very important. That mindset is so alien to us that our mind just chooses to ignore it.

[God_emperor_Doom]

Two of the Real Intelligent treasures of India.
Always delighted to see AIM

[katlego]

This is a refreshing perspective. Greetings from South Africa .

[kennethtan]

This is gonna be awesome! Much Love from the Philippines.

[ReturnDesi]

AIM must focus on hia health....we need him for very long years with us...

[pnvgopichand]

Abhijit and Abhijit what a combination flow of wisdom ❤❤

[PhotoHeerPatel-euhc]

Abhijit x Abhijit - Legends in single frmae

[emperior]

Abhijit x Abhijit is a conversation I will always listen to.
Keep bringing these forever.

[Goofpsy]

There was a time these conversations used to happen in every house, market (chai Wale pe) etc. So glad to see revival of that tradition on podcasts.

Honest and intelligent conversations served straight up. Loved it! ❤

[mobarakaniani]

I really enjoyed the podcast watching u from Chad 🇹🇩 🙏

[biswajitroy]

That massacre happened mainly for 2 reasons : 1. Employing Muslims in their homes & facilities 2. Over dependency on gadgets and software bypassing constant human engagement for overseeing threat signs & react

[alex_]

India should hyper-industrialize the defense industry on a war footing! Also the population should also be prepared for sacrifice!

[OrichalcumHammer]

1:43:01 Indian constitution was also written as an exercise on seeking white man validation.

[ranganathkini]

This is a pure gem! Thank you Abhijit and Chavdaji! 🙏

[pandey.kaustubh]

Loved the way Abhijit Chavda sir said Jai shree Ram ❤❤