Bitcoin Risk Metric

This chart shows the price color-coded by Risk metric values. Values near 1 have a darker red color while values near 0 have a dark blue color. The purpose of the Risk metrics is not to predict price bottoms nor price tops, but rather to identify areas that should be attractive buying- or selling points in the longer term. Low Risk indicates potentially interesting buying areas and high Risk indicates potentially interesting selling areas. The formulas for creating the metric are unpublished and are only known to Benjamin Cowen, the creator. The formulas do account for diminishing returns.

All crypto assets are created after Bitcoin and have therefore experienced less market cycles that could be used to fit data to. Sometimes the behavior of certain assets is also very unclear. We therefore assign a confidence parameter from 1 to 9 to each Risk Metric, those with higher confidence are more likely to produce reasonable predictions, while for lower confidence assets it is less clear. Lower confidence assets might also need re-fitting in the future, after more market cycle tops/bottoms are in

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Disclaimer: The information presented within this video is NOT financial advice.

[RN-fgtc]

Hey Ben, don’t listen to the noise, you are doing a great job for your followers, there’s going to be some noise no matter what you do, you are a genius man, keep up the great work.

[GM-ghdk]

Keep talking about BTC dominance. You're a voice of reason that conteracts all the other hype we consume.

[evac]

Hey the silent majority that watch your content love the Bitcoin dominance approach. The noisy ones are just upset because they’ve been incorrect so far. You’ve had a profound impact on my understanding of crypto. Thank you sir. Respect! Don’t be like everyone else.

[pikmin]

screw em! the haters are ones who never have and never will listen. keep doing what you do man. thank you for 2 years of no nonsense wisdom

[Speedtraveling]

Ben, you've become a Meme, thanks to the Coin Bureau. I am a subscriber of ITC, i am around since 2017. I watched a ton of your videos. ONLY NOW, i truly understood, what you meant with BTC.D after this video. And i checked my portfolio. It is exactly what happend: i positioned my Alts since January and i DCA to BTC and ETH since Summer 2023. BTC would be a wiser choice. Thanks for your education and the ITC plattform!

[nisalaherath]

Thanks Ben. And I don't think the dominance discussions were overlooked. Sure the vocal minority did not want to hear it but the BTC dominance theory has so far being correct and it has helped a lot of us think differently about this market. I would urge you to keep talking about it in future cycles if it continues to be useful!

[elliot]

Ben is number one. Always humble, always considers bear and bull, and is transparent. Keep doing you man you are worth gold

[tj]

Assuming that Bitcoin will close this month green, it had 6 consecutive green months. The last time that happend was in the 2021 bull-run and in 2013. Bitcoin only had two 7 straight green months in his history, and the last one happend in 2013 too. This makes me convinced a pullback is coming.

[colinguarisco]

Your commentary on Bitcoin dominance is eye opening, especially when the same core concept is applied to traditional investing with regard to large cap stocks vs small cap stocks in periods of QT. Please don’t ever back away from preaching such important truth.

[tomreyesramos]

btc dominance ben is what we need to navigate

[RoadM]

Don´t change your analisis Ben. You are the best.

[baskock]

I feel so bad for you ben! Giving us all this (free) information, honestly sharing your best opinions, which i valeu so much, you can't even imagine. And now feel the need for next cycle to filter some stuff, i would personaly hate it if you do that, i would understand it though, but i love your unchanged and open minded view on the market, the way you see it. You are 1 of a kind for me, so i would love for you to stick that way :)! (Following you since summer 2020)

[bluewizdom]

Bitcoin dominance is really important. Thanks!

[MegaSpacemanSpliff]

You're a man with a Bitcoin plan. You shouldn't ever have to feel pressure to appease the shitcoiners.

[flo]

Hey Ben, I just wanted to let you know that in countries like Germany you do not pay taxes for selling crypto with profit if you hold your coins longer than one year. But if you sell it with profit after less than one year, you pay the full income tax which can be 40+%. That means that buy sell buy in a shorter time period does not make much sense because you need to think ahead 1+ year if you want to avoid massive taxes.

[mookt]

ben you do what you think is best for you, dont let the masses sway you i watch you as a counterbalance to the rest of the moon bois and to help ground me in the real data before making any decisions on making big moves, we need this kind of in depth risk level analysis so much in this space and love you for it

[alexstone]

The risk metric is the reason I subscribed. Great content.

[RegieMusic]

Great vid as always, dont shy away and keep talking about important less seyx aspects like the btc dominance. That really differentiates you from other crypto analists, especially when the market gets heated.

[unwins]

Ben you talk different from other YouTuber. You have Very mature and sensible investment advise

[danielkaczanowski]

Hello Benjamin,
I am watching you ince late 2020. As a day trader, I look at the market with a different perspective. Also I couldnt care less if I trade at a 5000$ or a BTC . Your analysis provides a refreshing contrast to my own and I really enjoy watching it even tho your infomration is not thaaaat valuable for me
great work, very entertaining and no bullshit!!! (thats very rare), good job :)