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November Pandemic Update
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First two countries where decisions may need to be made
Czech Republic
Population 10.7 million
Extended its state of emergency to 20th November
German MEP and health expert Peter Liese
Need to reduce contacts
regrettably Belgium and the Czech Republic are too late, so that the health systems there are already overloaded
Belgium
Population 11 million
Current prevalence, 300,000
5% of 300, 000 is 15,000
Friday (30th October), from Monday, all non-essential shops will have to close for at least one month
Dr. Philippe Devos, (Medical Union of Belgium)
ten days there will be only one bed remaining, and two patients
the doctors will have to choose which one of the two patients will be able to be in the only bed we have
Germany
Increased restrictions from Monday
Chancellor Merkel
If infections in Germany continue at this rate, we will push our health system to its limit
German MEP and health expert Peter Liese
European Union had underestimated the impact of COVID-19
some member states' health care systems are just days from collapsing
Greece
New lockdown measures from Tuesday, bars, cafes, restaurants, gyms being
Until the end of November.
Austria
Partial second lockdown from Tuesday
Closures and people required to stay home from 8 p.m. to 6 a.m
Schools, non-essential shops are allowed to remain open.
UK
England, 4 weeks from Thursday
From Thursday until the start of December, you must stay at home
Unless we act, we could see deaths in this country running at several thousand a day
From Thursday until 2nd December
Restaurants, pubs and bars will close, except for takeaways and deliveries.
All leisure and entertainment venues and most non-essential shops
Work from home if possible
Domestic travel, except for essential purposes, will be frowned upon
Schools, universities and colleges will remain open
Construction and manufacturing open
No indoor household mixing
Religious services stopped
Limited international travel
United States
Anthony Fauci
We’re in for a whole lot of hurt
It’s not a good situation
All the stars are aligned in the wrong place as you go into the fall and winter season, with people congregating at home indoors
You could not possibly be positioned more poorly
abrupt change, in public health practices and behaviours
Could surpass 100,000 new cases a day
(Cases, + 554, 322 in past 7 days)
Rising deaths in the coming weeks
Australia
Cases, + 0
Taiwan
Population, 22.5 million
Cases, 550
Deaths, 7
Mandatory masks on public transport
Digital registration for some events
Isolation for people with symptoms
Normal life
202 days with no local transmission
Mandated quarantine for new arrivals, 340,000
Monitored by the Central Epidemic Command Centre (CECC) and police, and tracked by mobile phones.
SARS in Taiwan: an overview and lessons learned
14 March and 30 July 2003, SARS
Cases, 668
Deaths, 181 (27%)
Risk factors
Increasing age
Male
Exposed through hospital contact
Have a coexisting medical disorder
A total of 151,270 quarantined
Among them, 46 were subsequently diagnosed
Hospitals implemented WHO infection control recommendations
Conclusions
Patient isolation and strict hospital infection control
Strengthened and centralised its disease control framework and pandemic preparations
Started annual drills
Excluded from global WHO briefings
Therefore, did not rely on WHO information
Professor Yawen Cheng, health policy, National Taiwan University
We couldn’t get direct information from international organisations
Taiwan has always been careful about what happens in mainland China
so the Central Epidemic Command Centre (CECC) of Taiwan tried to get information from informal channels
Taiwan received a social media message in late December
Flight and travel restrictions
New technologies to monitor, track and trace potential cases
Phone tracking to allow people to quarantine at home, police automatically informed
Support people deliveries, counselling, information
Pharmacies supplied masks
Contactless payments
Online food deliveries
Czech Republic
Population 10.7 million
Extended its state of emergency to 20th November
German MEP and health expert Peter Liese
Need to reduce contacts
regrettably Belgium and the Czech Republic are too late, so that the health systems there are already overloaded
Belgium
Population 11 million
Current prevalence, 300,000
5% of 300, 000 is 15,000
Friday (30th October), from Monday, all non-essential shops will have to close for at least one month
Dr. Philippe Devos, (Medical Union of Belgium)
ten days there will be only one bed remaining, and two patients
the doctors will have to choose which one of the two patients will be able to be in the only bed we have
Germany
Increased restrictions from Monday
Chancellor Merkel
If infections in Germany continue at this rate, we will push our health system to its limit
German MEP and health expert Peter Liese
European Union had underestimated the impact of COVID-19
some member states' health care systems are just days from collapsing
Greece
New lockdown measures from Tuesday, bars, cafes, restaurants, gyms being
Until the end of November.
Austria
Partial second lockdown from Tuesday
Closures and people required to stay home from 8 p.m. to 6 a.m
Schools, non-essential shops are allowed to remain open.
UK
England, 4 weeks from Thursday
From Thursday until the start of December, you must stay at home
Unless we act, we could see deaths in this country running at several thousand a day
From Thursday until 2nd December
Restaurants, pubs and bars will close, except for takeaways and deliveries.
All leisure and entertainment venues and most non-essential shops
Work from home if possible
Domestic travel, except for essential purposes, will be frowned upon
Schools, universities and colleges will remain open
Construction and manufacturing open
No indoor household mixing
Religious services stopped
Limited international travel
United States
Anthony Fauci
We’re in for a whole lot of hurt
It’s not a good situation
All the stars are aligned in the wrong place as you go into the fall and winter season, with people congregating at home indoors
You could not possibly be positioned more poorly
abrupt change, in public health practices and behaviours
Could surpass 100,000 new cases a day
(Cases, + 554, 322 in past 7 days)
Rising deaths in the coming weeks
Australia
Cases, + 0
Taiwan
Population, 22.5 million
Cases, 550
Deaths, 7
Mandatory masks on public transport
Digital registration for some events
Isolation for people with symptoms
Normal life
202 days with no local transmission
Mandated quarantine for new arrivals, 340,000
Monitored by the Central Epidemic Command Centre (CECC) and police, and tracked by mobile phones.
SARS in Taiwan: an overview and lessons learned
14 March and 30 July 2003, SARS
Cases, 668
Deaths, 181 (27%)
Risk factors
Increasing age
Male
Exposed through hospital contact
Have a coexisting medical disorder
A total of 151,270 quarantined
Among them, 46 were subsequently diagnosed
Hospitals implemented WHO infection control recommendations
Conclusions
Patient isolation and strict hospital infection control
Strengthened and centralised its disease control framework and pandemic preparations
Started annual drills
Excluded from global WHO briefings
Therefore, did not rely on WHO information
Professor Yawen Cheng, health policy, National Taiwan University
We couldn’t get direct information from international organisations
Taiwan has always been careful about what happens in mainland China
so the Central Epidemic Command Centre (CECC) of Taiwan tried to get information from informal channels
Taiwan received a social media message in late December
Flight and travel restrictions
New technologies to monitor, track and trace potential cases
Phone tracking to allow people to quarantine at home, police automatically informed
Support people deliveries, counselling, information
Pharmacies supplied masks
Contactless payments
Online food deliveries
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