Future of Linux: A Visionary Tale from 2024

What will Linux look like in 5, 10, even 15 years from now. Will we still be waiting on the year of the Linux Desktop? Will security be a bigger issue? What about AI? Will our Desktop Environments still be GNOME, KDE, XFCE, MATE, CInnamon, etc.

AI Thumbnail: Off World Linux

00:00 - Introduction
01:20 - Trends in Linux
04:30 - Linux - 5 Years On (2029)
07:16 - Linux: 10 Years On (2034)
10:00 - Linux 15 Years On (2039)
13:34 - Marker 6
16:56 - Conclusions
18:32 - One More Thing...
21:59 - Outro

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[anonymous.youtuber]

“Always uncertain the future is”
😃😃😃❤️

[opfax]

With ads directly integrated in windows I'm not worried for Linux

[buteforce]

The future is unwritten but I know I will never being going to crapple or microshaft.

[RafaCoringaProducoes]

My predictions / wishlist lol:
-more usage of linux as eco environment friendly: rescuing old PCs, arm and riscV efficiency, etc
-VR things, like it or not
-immutability, like it or not lol
-projects like chatgenie shell
-cripto chenanigans
-e-ink rgb displays
-wikipedia still alive
-DJ ware returning from cryogeny
-aliens stealling templeOS

[johnnylee]

German government is switching to Linux. More, China is trying to switch the whole country into Linux, too. Plus, market share of Linux in India is growing fast. Therefore, I can see the market share of desktop Linux could reach 10% mark in 5 years.

[ybcanal]

I wonder what Linux will become when it'll lose Linus Torvalds. He is the main maintainer, visionnaire, and influencer. He kinda is the guy who decides what Linux becomes, what direction it goes to. So, hopefully the guys who will manage the kernel in the future will still do the job correctly and none gets corrupted, nor integrate backdoors or whatever inside the kernel. Though it's open source, we have recently seen that it can happen (thanks to xz).

[savagepro]

We forget to mention Linux certifications are going to grow in demand

[savagepro]

🐧" Linux is Open Sauce. We Feed without corporate Greed. That's why we love it. Yummy😋"

[richardnorton]

I wonder if Linux will ever reconsider its adoption of "the Bazaar" in lieu of "the Cathedral." A cathedral-esque approach (like that of the BSDs) seems to have a more disciplined engineering approach. (The code is certainly more legible.)

It's pretty neat to realize that in my 15+ years of software dev experience, at no time was their any real debate on what to use for production systems. Especially now, it's just a given that it will be some flavor of Linux.

[aivy-aigeneratedmusic]

To be honest i would like to pay for it if that makes it even better. Right now there are still too many problems. All of these workarounds might be possible but most people just don't want to deal with it so this will be a permanent cap for the market share.

[fbifido]

as of today,
- look back 10 & 15 years to see what Linux was, then try to predict 10 & 15 years using growing trend.

[jeffreydurham]

Why did Window's and MacOS get such user share? One reason is because they advertised. They promoted themselves.

[n.m]

Linux reconquista has already started mate 🐧

[xuldevelopers]

That sounded like a light TEDx Talk. Not technical, more like an ad for something you might enjoy but don't necessarily need to understand. It's missing the technical depth I'm used to in this channel. I get the impression that speaking impulsively without reading the prompt suits you much better.

[lenwhatever]

Wow. Very carefully worded. Impressive. Focuses all on positives without stating any flaws or names of other offerings. Even to the point of suggesting one could use Linux along side other offerings without actually saying that. Makes politicians look overall sloppy. (and they each have an army of writers for everything they say). I think that while you mention the idea of people unifying Linux helping, I think that the major players will do that enough that it really doesn't matter. There will be hobby distros with odd focus of not using this or that new thing that everyone else is using.... there are still people using OSS for sound after all. I think that X11 is about finished.... it will take another 10 or 20 years before people start asking "whats X11" though, to be honest, I am sure there are at least two people in the house now that don't know that is what they are using.... or will shortly not be using and wayland will be just as much a "whats that" even with most people using it. How many users know their machine has systemd.... or even gnome, kde, plasma, etc.? I think the fact that people don't know what these things are already says good things about Linux as an operating system. The real thing is that people do know they are using chrome or firefox.... they know the individual names of libreoffice's parts.... at least the parts they use without especially knowing they are using libreoffice. Just my observations watching the computer users in my own house. Has there really been that much of a change from the win95 style desktop? Does the desktop itself really do any more than than CDE has done? In fact if anything, the average phone or tablet has more in common with CDE... menus are going away and a big group of unrelated app icons has taken it's place

[newbtop]

Imagine if the number of PC component manufacturers were to increase significantly, for instance, having 10 graphics card companies. Could the Linux kernel effectively handle drivers from all these manufacturers? Even Linus Torvalds has acknowledged that the current maintainers are overwhelmed and exhausted.

[hcd]

Interesting take. I work with small drones and the industry may move from embedded OSs, such as ChibiOS to Linux. The computational share of the kernel overhead is much lower nowadays for a given afforable low power SOC.

[xlrusa]

MacOs and its extreme walled garden is losing market share and everyone hates Windows 11. This should persist for some time as many believe Apple and Microsoft will not fix the issues. What we need to do is leverage AI in order to create a more robust DIY PC experience. Companies want to control all media in the cloud, from games to movies to music. They can remove your access to this media at anytime, this happens all the time with games. We should be running nodes within our homes that run our email servers, media, web sites, digital wallets / banks and secure our personal data (which could be left offline when not needed).

[charliecarpenter]

Personally I donate money to the distro I use. Real currency is useful and as Linux becomes more popular it is likely to become targeted by gov and corporations. Having resources at hand will, I assume, be quite handy at such a time.

[Masonicon]

Linux is good for colonizing Moon and Mars with either it's embedded OS