GSF 2017: 'Is Strategy Dead?'

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8:00 a.m. - 9:20 a.m. - Welcoming and Global Forecast 2030

An interactive multimedia presentation on the most critical challenges facing the world now and into the next decade. Surveying a range of critical issues, including the revolution in artificial intelligence, economic, energy and demographic drivers, and dynamics in the global governance and security landscape, the presentation will describe challenging policy choices that will shape our future. The audience will have an opportunity to vote on a series of questions about the direction of the world from today to 2030.

Welcoming Remarks and Introduction

Dr. John J. Hamre
President and CEO, CSIS

Global Forecast 2030

Facilitated by:
Dr. John J. Hamre
President and CEO, CSIS

9:30 a.m. - 10:45 a.m.

The West Strikes Back: A Transatlantic Playbook to Counter Russian Active Measures

Over the past year, the American people have taken a crash course in understanding the multidimensional impact of active Russian measures in the United States, particularly through information and computational technology. Russian efforts to increase distrust in democratic institutions and leaders, heighten societal fear, encourage disunity and discord have placed the 21st century battlefield squarely on the manipulation of public opinion and the reduction of trust in democracy. From the U.S. and French presidential elections to manipulating public opinion in NATO countries, we now have a better understanding of the “Kremlin Playbook”. However, what we need is a long-term transatlantic playbook to counter and ultimately defeat active Russian measures. Bringing together some of the foremost thought leaders on the subject, this panel will explore the key elements of an effective Western counter strategy by examining efforts to raise public awareness about Russian disinformation and active measures, stabilizing and increasing the transparency of democratic institutions, enhancing investigative journalism to uncover illicit Russian financing, and understanding how social media tools amplify Russian disinformation in order to develop a whole-of-society response to a sustained Russian attack on American democracy and its security.

Featuring:
Hon. Jamal El-Hindi
Acting Director, Financial Crimes Enforcement Network, U.S. Department of the Treasury

Gen Michael Hayden (USAF, Ret.)
Principal, The Chertoff Group; former Director of the National Security Agency, Principal Deputy Director of National Intelligence, and Director of the Central Intelligence Agency

Mr. Drew Sullivan
Editor and Founder, Organized Crime and Corruption Reporting Project

Mr. Clint Watts
Robert A. Fox Fellow, Foreign Policy Research Institute; Senior Fellow, Center for Cyber and Homeland Security, The George Washington University

Moderated by:
Ms. Heather Conley
Senior Vice President for Europe, Eurasia, and the Arctic; and Director, Europe Program, CSIS

11:00 a.m. - 12:15 p.m.

The purpose of this panel is to explore the widening gap between defense strategy and the resources available and to discuss how it can be reconciled. The panelists will be asked to provide thoughts on whether they believe there is a strategy-resource mismatch, how it can be bridged, and if developing and implementing a strategy is still possible in our current political climate. The panel will include a full perspective of views on defense strategy and the budget.

Featuring:
Dr. Emma Ashford
Research Fellow, CATO Institute

Amb. Eric Edelman
Counselor, Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments; Former Under Secretary of Defense for Policy, U.S. Department of Defense

Dr. Kathleen Hicks
Senior Vice President, Henry A. Kissinger Chair, and Director, International Security Program, CSIS

Dr. William Ruger
Vice President for Research, Koch Foundation, and Vice President for Research and Policy, Koch Institute

Moderated by:
Mr. Todd Harrison
Director, Defense Budget Analysis, Director, Aerospace Security Project and Senior Fellow, International Security Program, CSIS