Nuclear Fusion Predictions are Nonsense

Nuclear fusion is one of the most important up-and-coming technologies, and contrary to jokes, it is indeed coming closer. But how long will it take to get a nuclear fusion reactor to put power in to the grid? According to two recent reports, the technology won’t be ready until 2050, too late to contribute to our net zero goals. If you look at national strategy plans, the projections look different. What are we to make of such wildly different perspectives?

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#science #sciencenews #nuclear #nuclearfusion #tech

[jbomcmm]

How far away are we from nuclear fusion? About 93 million miles...

[alieninmybeverage]

"The Future is Later."

Now THAT is an inspirational poster.

[nigelrg]

I'm 76, an ex-Brit living in California. When I was 10, the country of my birth claimed commercial nuclear fusion was only a few years away, using a gizmo called Zeta. 66 years later, commercial nuclear fusion is only a few years away, using ...

[theeniwetoksymphonyorchest]

I once had an idea for a printer with a built in shredder. This was to improve recycling and productivity by avoiding the need for anyone to read a report ever again. Sometimes I wish I’d something with it.

[softwarephil]

“Predicting the future is hard — especially when it hasn’t happened yet.”

[id]

We are all pretty frustrated about the whole situation too. We are only talking about changing the whole world like that time we discovered the wheel, the gun powder, electricity, computers..

[racookster]

I was really excited about fusion when I was 14 years old. That was in 1973, and it was only ten years away!

[harshalshah]

We're only 20 years from the next announcement of "we're only 30 years away"

Right on schedule.

[russellstephan]

In the 1970's I wrote a high school paper on fusion. It was *just* 30 years out then. It's been a constant 30 years out since.

One of the great "constants" of known physics...

[philochristos]

It's hard to be optimistic about nuclear fusion.

[msromike]

Thank you for reading a lot of crap that you don't talk to us about. I count on it!

[archvaldor]

I've been walking a lot recently, and confidently predict at the current rate of progress I will be able to fly by 2032.

[markotrieste]

I'm 50, reasonably healthy, and I am sure I will not see fusion working in my lifetime.

[eecarolinee]

I hereby suggest an "All Crap" video... just for fun.
Ayup.

[fragdude]

Friend of mine from college was in the US Army 10-15 years ago (did ROTC in college so he had to serve for … 4 years? I forget).
After he did his time abroad and in Afghanistan he got an assignment as a project manager in the US. One of his projects was the work being done for a fusion reactor powered tank.

Yes. A tank powered by a fusion reactor. When I heard this I was very shocked and said the reasonable thing, “isn’t that technology pretty far out??”
To which he replied, “The Army thinks it will be feasible in 10 years.”

What else could one have expected as the timeline for anything fusion powered!

[VastKrutEmpire]

Those fusion start-ups are the latest investment scam.

[weremuppet]

I came from the year 2152 and I can happily inform you that nuclear fusion is no longer 50 years away... it's been updated to 15 years away

[MrAlanCristhian]

Sabine, you are so right about tech predictions. But not only academia fail, also big tech companies do.

[msromike]

I simply do not understand why we have basically ignored fission technology. I don't really care how the zero carbon emissions electrons get to my house. Now that I am onboard that there is a problem, I am even more confused by the lack of what to me, seems to be an obvious bridge solution. I have nothing against windmills, solar panels, or Small Modulor Reactors. When there truly is an emergency, don't you pick the lesser of all evils and go full steam ahead? If a fraction of the resources that has been put into educating people about the perils of climate change had instead been put into development of Advanced Reactors and education on the safety of this technology, we would have a lot more breathing room in which to determine the best path forward.

[umka]

How do you know "they are not far away"? Sounds like a prediction based on... words?