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Mick Mulvaney on the fight over the $15 federal minimum wage
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A report released Monday from the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office concluded that raising the minimum wage to $15 an hour by 2025 could add tens of billions of dollars to the federal budget deficit.
That could actually help Democrats pass an increase.
The CBO report showed that the Raise the Wage Act of 2021, which was recently reintroduced in the House, would increase the cumulative budget deficit by $54 billion through 2031. It also said raising the minimum wage to $15 an hour by 2025 would increase net revenue and boost spending on programs such as Medicaid and Medicare while decreasing the cost of others, such as the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program, or SNAP.
The report could help Democrats push forward a federal minimum wage increase because it supports the argument that it could be included in any legislation passed via Senate budget reconciliation, meaning that it impacts outlays and revenue and is not an incidental cost.
“This is not just incidental to the budget [the wage hike], it’s key to the budget,” said William Spriggs, an economics professor at Howard University and chief economist for the AFL-CIO, on a Monday call with reporters. It has clear implications when we think about Medicare and Medicaid, which are two very large federal programs, he said.
If Democrats can pass the federal minimum wage boost through reconciliation, it wouldn’t require any Republican support. Instead, they would need only a simple majority in the Senate, with Vice President Kamala Harris casting the tiebreaking vote.
Democrats are preparing to use reconciliation to pass President Joe Biden’s $1.9 trillion coronavirus relief package, which could include a federal minimum wage hike. Recently, Senate Democrats voted to prohibit raising the minimum wage during the pandemic, but through a nonbinding amendment. That means they could add the legislation back later -- and a first draft of the Education and Labor Committee’s part of the coronavirus bill seen Monday does include the $15 federal minimum wage increase.
Bernie Sanders, the independent Vermont senator and chair of the Senate Budget Committee, fully supports using reconciliation to pass an increased federal minimum wage.
“Let’s be clear. We are never going to get 10 Republicans to increase the minimum wage through ‘regular order.’ The only way to increase the minimum wage to $15 an hour now is to pass it with 51 votes through budget reconciliation,” Sanders said in a Monday statement.
“The CBO has demonstrated that increasing the minimum wage would have a direct and substantial impact on the federal budget. What that means is that we can clearly raise the minimum wage to $15 an hour under the rules of budget reconciliation,” he added.
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