odds speed misses this penalty?

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moving on from prankrupting mr beast, what's the mathematical probability that ishowspeed misses this penalty against ksi?

what should we investigate next?
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POV: when u don’t keep ur thoughts to urself

xkx..
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Thought it'd be worth mentioning:

In football, there's something called "xG" (expected goals), and it is a way of calculating how likely a shot going in is. The most widely agreed on formulae for calculating xG gives a penalty as 0.79xG, or a 79% chance

froodlenoodle
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dont wanna deal with numbers in the millions 😂

durag_activity
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Well of course KSI is going to dive so that means there is a much higher chance it gets saved

SquarePlayer
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Chances of scoring a penalty in ever position:
Middle: 99%
Top Left: 100%
Top right: 100%
Bottom left: 80%
Bottom Right: 81%
Middle left: 90%
Middle right: 87.91%
Curved middle right: 1, 000, 000, 909, 082, 872, 009, 000, 092, 000%

lecusz_
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But that math only works if ksi is guaranteed to not move at all

theboss
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There are two important assumptions:
A: The penalty taker shoots completely random and always shoots on goal
B: The goalkeeper is not allowed to move a little

With those two assumptions being wrong it’s not the most accurate probability

letztiz
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We need you back. The whole channel’s subscribers do

sweatynoob
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You forgot the extremely high possibility of him missing interely

lol_gaming
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Speed beats the odds…






































The odds of him scoring

CommanderRexYT
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It actually drops a lot if u consider the shot would not be in goal 💀💀

lifemaxxingfr
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Probality of speed scoring the penalty = 0%
Come on man its simple math😂

fatimayousuf
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That’s cool and all but the odds change drastically as the keeper will always move towards the destined trajectory of the ball increasing the chance of missing greatly

Boofski
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That ignores the possibility of him missing the goal entirely.

alphabetadams
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How math teachers expect us to do math:

MintyWW
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Assuming that speed actually gets the ball in the vicinity of the goal 😂

xenen
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Probability is greater than 1....very good😂😂

aakarsh
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The probability of scoring a goal against a goalkeeper isn't solely based on the ratio of the goalkeeper's area to the goal's area because there are several other factors at play. These include the shooter's skill, angle of the shot, speed and trajectory of the ball, goalkeeper's positioning and reaction time, defensive players, and more. So, while the goalkeeper's area relative to the goal's area is a factor, it doesn't encapsulate the complexity of scoring probabilities in soccer. It was still an entertaining video though

didrikuser
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Now imagine the complexity of factoring in KSI’s movement 😂

antoinegilbert
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Kinda flawed if you think about the possible range of missing the goal entirely, which is like infinitely larger 😂

kawper