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CHINA Sell Off 39% of US Treasury: What's Next?

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The U.S. government continues to regard Treasury securities as stable and secure investment options, especially during economic uncertainties. Despite this, there are growing concerns about the national debt, which has escalated to over $35 trillion as of mid-2024. This figure has doubled in the last 15 years, highlighting a trend of increasing government expenditure and debt accumulation.
The U.S. government's rising debt poses several long-term economic risks, notably due to the increasing cost of servicing this debt amidst rising interest rates. These higher rates make debt servicing more expensive, potentially leading to inflation and increased borrowing costs, which could crowd out private investment and necessitate higher taxes or reduced government spending.
Compounding these concerns is the U.S.'s reliance on foreign investment to fund its national debt. Notably, China, which was once the largest foreign holder of U.S. debt, has reduced its holdings significantly, from a peak of $1.316 trillion in 2013 to about $749 billion by mid-2024. This reduction is part of a broader trend of decreasing foreign ownership of U.S. debt, driven by geopolitical shifts and policy changes both in the U.S. and abroad. Such a reduction in foreign investment could force the U.S. to offer higher interest rates to attract new investors, thereby increasing borrowing costs further.
The U.S. government's rising debt poses several long-term economic risks, notably due to the increasing cost of servicing this debt amidst rising interest rates. These higher rates make debt servicing more expensive, potentially leading to inflation and increased borrowing costs, which could crowd out private investment and necessitate higher taxes or reduced government spending.
Compounding these concerns is the U.S.'s reliance on foreign investment to fund its national debt. Notably, China, which was once the largest foreign holder of U.S. debt, has reduced its holdings significantly, from a peak of $1.316 trillion in 2013 to about $749 billion by mid-2024. This reduction is part of a broader trend of decreasing foreign ownership of U.S. debt, driven by geopolitical shifts and policy changes both in the U.S. and abroad. Such a reduction in foreign investment could force the U.S. to offer higher interest rates to attract new investors, thereby increasing borrowing costs further.
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