Network Reliability

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MIT 6.041SC Probabilistic Systems Analysis and Applied Probability, Fall 2013
Instructor: Kuang Xu

License: Creative Commons BY-NC-SA
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The correct answer should be:
P(A → B) = p { 1 − (1 − p) {1 − [1 − (1 − p)^3] p }} [1 − (1 − p)^2]

shinzhao
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great demonstration for the devide and conquer method :)

MinhNguyen-ggiu
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Very helpful. The problem's difficulty was instructive. Thank you very much!

mayteylg
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Thank you Sir. Your explanation was laconic.

khalidsaifullah
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I think the final answer is incorrect.

aaa
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in 7:05, i guess the last term p^2 should be only p

erenlmn
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how about if the system is not series nor parallel? ie like complex one

kreigu
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Does anybody know why the probability of failure under a parallel system is not the sum of 1-p?

SH-jqvq