Exponential Smoothing Method in Forecasting | Forecasting Techniques - Exponential smoothing method

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In this video, You will learn how to perform exponential smoothing method (ESM).

ESM is one of the important techniques of time series forecasting. to calculate this method, you will employ alpha constant to the actual demand and 1- alpha to the forecast demand.

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#Exponentialsmoothingmethod #forecasting techniques

Karpagam QT corner

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Going through this explanation 1hr before my exams, and I must say, thank you for your clear explanation

LifestylewithJoy_

Thanks, ma'am. It is really helpfull.

santoshsahu-oyvo

Very nice explanation.
Do you have any videos that explain CONVOLUTION SMOOTHING for timeseries data with a simple example?

murphyslaw

Thank you so much ma'am
From ISBR College ❤️

amitkumarpal

what if you want to find F3 but the second demand is unknown and only demand F1 is known? can we use demand F1?

rizkyindramaulana

thank you clearing my doubt ma'am

debopomsaha

Can you please explain how did you derived the value of alpha as 0.4?

bishwajeetneogi

Greetings! Why do we use 2 in the numerator of factor? 2/(1 + k)

purudate

Year Unit
2001 1.68
2011 2.54
2012 2.35
2013 2.73
For the Above problem can I use 2001 is the previous year of 2011 ?

sovanmondal

Madame, If I am doing double exponential smoothing 5 period moving average with a software program-after 5 period exponential moving average is calculated say (X) does computer do second calculation with data X and (X-t1) (X-t2) (X-t3) (X-t4) - - - forgive me, I went to college 50 years ago..(X-t1) is exponential moving average one period prior & so on.Thank you.

navketan

How to Compute MAD in Forecasting Method Exponential Smoothing? Can you make a video for it thanks

maryjoypesodas

Kindly answer please. I want to understand it as I have got this in Assignment.

zairimtiaz

How do forecast values for 8, 9, 10 and so on

adventurer_stan

How smoothing constant is equal to .4?please help here

jbkofficialreels

Alpha value not given, how to find this one

sunilvaland

What is the difference between Dt and Ft in the formula? As demand and forecasts are considered same.

zairimtiaz

But thats how we can only calculate forecast for 1 month (in this case 7th ) what about next 6 months ?

AkshayKumar-iodh

first ki forcosting khud se let ki he 310? ya first ki as it is rhne dein gy bakio ki find krein gy?

esha-tul-razia

mam formula is written wrong, its F(t+1)= Ft + alpha(At - F t)

_DUKE_

Thank you but Fct number so far from actual. In reality how to forecast accurately than how to calculate the number follow the formula

bmpbox

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