This Just Changed Everything For 2025…

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DISCLAIMER: This video is for informational and entertainment purposes only. We are not financial advisers, and you should do your own research and go through your own thought process before investing in a position. Trading is risky; best of luck!

[bravosresearch]

🔔 Trade alerts
✅ Our short-medium-long term outlooks on the stock market (3 episodes a week)
⚠ Emergency updates on market opportunities
🎓 A TON of education on becoming a profitable trader

[tristonhoang]

It'll come eventually and when everyone doesn't expect it

[CaptainAppCrash]

Riddle me this, how many “soft landings” had an inverted yield curve

[fitnessevolution]

That’s a bold prediction for no recession in 2025. Though I disagree, I respect that you are at least stating your belief at this time from the data you think are currently valuable. Hopefully you stand by your call either way, as many financial channels seem rather prone to go back and cherry pick old videos to make themselves look like oracles if things don’t turn out.

[Canaris]

All of this means nothing until we know what exactly Trump will be doing once in office. That is by far the biggest factor of them all.

[MrSmf]

No signs? Have you not watched any of your own latest videos? Laughable

[r.d.]

You do realize that most Americans constantly feel like we're in a recession.

[paulm]

the only thing keeping the recession away is government deficit spending - this skews the comparison to previous data

[ghost]

Unemployment is low because many people have several jobs to barely stay afloat

[russellobrien]

Not sold on the reasoning for the bullish call described at 4:44. If you pause the screen, you will see that right before the 2000 recession, banking standards spiked, came back down, but unemployment continued to rise. So bank lending standards are not that closely correlated with recessions. In fact.... you might even think that an external factor, like the popping of a tech bubble or a sudden rise in prices due to tariffs might CAUSE banks to increase lending standards. Correlation =/= causation.

[playmaker]

Whoa big confident pivot on recession forecast. Great video editing btw. The way you slide chart lines is big smooth

[Alexsandr-lk]

"Interesting" arguments at the start of the "show"
Prior to the 2008 bubble pop, the GDP was also positive (2.2% in fact for 2007 despite the subprime collapse already underway). Low was the unemployment (at 5% or the natural rate of unemployment). In fact, prior to most recessions, the unemployment is natural. Yet, that doesn't stop recessions. Do you really think it is unemployment that starts recessions and not vice versa?!

[DonaldWarner-mqiq]

Hmm one of the few times i disagree people keep forgetting about the issues in commercial real estate. Also massive unrealized losses in banks with long term bonds. Then you have corporate bankruptcies at 14 year high. Credit card delinquencies are also surging to decade highs. I still think recession is highly likely

[boot-strapper]

if you actually believe the unemployment rate is only 4.1%, you deserve the massive loss thats about to occur

[Savage-szgo]

I respect a change in thesis based on new data - too many echo chambers in the financial content space

[artandreassen]

I think that assets, liquidity and money supply are important leading indicators of a downturn that are ignored.

[IndyTennisPro]

The vast majority of the jobs being created are low paying jobs…. And Buffet is not selling stocks for no reason….. and if the 10 year treasury goes to 5.5% the market will not like that because the decent return compared to taking a risk in the market

[jamieb]

Banks are loosening lending because there are less solvent borrowers.

[lamariusdsp]

Interest rates up, P/E multiples down.
Even if earnings rise, stocks can still go down, especially considering this is one of the most expensive markets in history.

[pauliuspetkus]

From what I see in the markets… doesn’t even look like anything close to recession or any downward trend… I think no recession will take place anytime soon