February 18 Natural Gas Analysis and Forecast

Natural Gas Prices Spike — Because Who Cares About Fundamentals Anymore?

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[BRad]

Great to hear your take on this situation, thanks.

[snowik]

Great analysis as always, i also expect reality check and going down 8-15%

[jdy]

Very good information and appreciate it. But His predictions rate are 30%. Because natural gas is timing matters. I get his information but my investment is different. We should exercise caution in the natural gas market, particularly regarding price volatility tied to cold weather. Market sentiment is currently pessimistic, and I anticipate a potential decline in prices for two reasons: First, President Trump’s vocal opposition to inflation might lead to policy measures aimed at stabilizing energy costs. Second, with winter ending, seasonal demand for heating is likely to drop. I’m also hoping—practically praying—for mild weather from now until November to avoid any unexpected spikes in demand.

[RickyNg-jtxj]

what goes up without fundamentals will eventually goes down, in this case, not eventually, but very very quickly.

[everythingusful]

I think that the storage level comparing to the last 5 years average is the most important measure . As it reflects production, local demand due to weather and export levels. The season also is important . Not only winter but starting from April the exports are more to store for the next winter.
The actual storage is reflecting everything

[DomestosWC]

Catched me icecold. I was short and confident with.

[gutsjoestar]

I knew it would reach 4.2 resistance when it broke the 3.8 level but i didn't long cuz it was too speculative with bear fundamentals. Turns out i was right and missed my entry

[morganhunt]

Ya I figured it would do the opposite of the last arctic blast. Last time it ran up the week before and sold off during the blast. This time it ran up and continued up during the blast recking anyone shorting who expected it to do the same thing and sell off this week. I bet on it going up this week. Winner winner chicken dinner.

[정검객]

퍼미안 분지의 지진으로 인해 천연가스관이 파괴된 것이 가격급등의 주요원인중 하나로 알고 았습니다.
이에 대한 내용은 다뤄 주실수 있나요?

[쇼비즈]

WASHINGTON, Feb 7 (Reuters) - Japan will soon begin importing a record amount of new shipments of American liquefied natural gas, U.S. President Donald Trump said on Friday.

[nickwoolley]

Short squeeze or have exports to EU increased?

[emancera]

This price surge was not due to weather but to trump's comments about gas exports

[dirkhuneke]

I think, the "Henry Hub" price will nearly close the delta between the increasing eurpean gas price! So no more weather event in the US like "arctic outbreaks" and such else will driven, its only the different gas prices on the market coming now together! And the european storages are very empty till march. They need more gas in the summer to fill them up for the next winter. Maybe the summer drop in prices will not coming like before!

[totobranch]

Oh wow, another ‘totally rational’ natural gas price spike—clearly driven by deep fundamental analysis and not at all by a herd of speculators chasing candles. I'm sure this one will hold steady and not come crashing down the moment reality kicks in. Traders must be feeling "very secure" right now!

[jonathanlee]

Not your best video. Sounds as though you were hurt by a losing short trade and just need to vent. What about market mechanics and other reasons we can learn from for next time -- such as short covering or triggers of panic buying ?