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#bitcoin

[TheDash]

I always appreciate your analysis Steve. Your insight helped me make and save alot of money over the last few years.❤

[merbal]

Please explane more of this 5.3 theory for the coming next 20-30 years. Where will be the BTC price than? Just going down forever?

[soundsofnature]

You should take into consideration the ETF filing BlackRock abs other investment firms are implementing.. this changes everything

[elvisgaribovic]

Steve, btc is traded every day in the year, 24 hours a day, and the S & P 500 is 6.5 hours from Monday to Friday. Btc is traded 6x more hours per year than s&p 500. Which means 1 year of btc is 6 years of s&p 500. So 12 years storm in s&p 500 is 2 years storm in btc.

[Hobsonschoicefamily]

The 5.3 rule is very impressive that you found it. But long term it is not possible to keep following otherwise bitcoin will eventfully start to only go down and never make a new high, and eventually end at $0

[badlad]

So, a BTC ETF in USA won’t disrupt the pattern?

[bobbyo]

I haven’t ran the numbers here. But the degree to which supply on exchanges has decreased in the last two years - if that continues at *roughly* that same pace over the next 5 years with Bitcoin staying under $100k.
There would be little to no Bitcoin left on exchanges by 2028. Again I’d have to run the numbers here.
But supply on exchanges might be a metric worth considering on any long term thesis like this.

[Arash_Sandiego]

80k is not bad. I Invested when it was around 20k and 4x is a crazy profit in compare to other investments. I keep following you. Thank you for sharing your knowledge❤

[alexmyers]

Another great informative video Steve! I'm going to ask the question I think a lot of people want to know. What do you think the BlackRock ETF will do to the bitcoin price?

[dexterchiong]

Normally i agree with you but this time i find some things doesn’t make sense.

1. The 5.3 diminishing returns theory is a theory. The same can be said of the 4 year cycle theory. Which also states 2028 should be another end to the next bear market meaning 100k would be impossible in 2028. Whichever theory would hold?

2. We cannot compare stock market as correlation index of stock market and btc is if im not mistaken around just .3 now. Meaning they corelate to each other by just 30%. Only time that corelation got close was during the pandemic money printing which everybody assumed they corelate

[FabrizioVivarelli-sg]

Steve I always wanted to ask you one thing: how would the 5.3 theory would look like after the 415%? Thanks for your reply on this! Your videos are great by the way

[vickyviajeraOK]

Thank you for the explanation, I always learn something new with you! I'll only suggest to drop those memes as they're distracting and make you lose the focus on the important info.

[dserizawa]

other factor that need to be consider is numbers of bitcoin outflows on exchanges is way higher than the previous years pre ftx crisis, Yes less bitcoin on exchanges does help the price to go up. We had FTX selling bitcoin that they don't have in 2021 bull run

[grantrutenberg]

Even within the gruesome long term channel as forecast, just DCA into historically cheap areas and then DCA out as things heat up. Plenty of opportunity and still enough volatility to enjoy wonderful returns.

[peterjackson]

Steve, you are perfect!
The only one who talks no BS and just focuses on Pure Fact!
BTW, what is the moving average you are using gor stock chart in this video?

[koopapro]

Btc not hitting 100k this cycle might be good for Altcoins to rocket beyond belief

[Abhi_CryptOcean]

Awesome Steve, have always been your TA fan & will always be. I asked a qus in one of your previous video about 5.3 theory but today I got the answer of my qus thru this video 😊

[sag]

Love the content as always!

What is the major macro chart at the end of the video??? S&P?

What is the blue line? 200ma????

I want to recreate that chart on my trading view!!

[vernateriyaki]

Steve has been mostly right, but I think speculating out so far is what looks like a need to make a video about BTC 100k. Any number of world events can act as a catalyst to BTC including major dollar devaluation. While the charts are important they aren't foolproof and history doesn't always repeat itself in these charts.

[Zenstone]

Smart money will still make money by capitualating in mini cycles