STOP Using Public Betting Percentages...

Rob Pizzola breaks down public betting percentages! What are they? Are they useful? When should you refer to public betting percentages and when should you avoid them?

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[ecolt]

The free content provided on this channel is a gold mine for novice bettors looking to increase their bankroll. Straight up nobody does it better, keep fighting the good fight guys

[briandavey]

Listen to bobby people. Wish this pod existed in my 20s.

[jeremyscorpio]

I knew betting splits had no value about a year and a half into my sports betting journey.

you figure out whats useless its frees up more time to find out what's useful.

[nbhoser]

Somewhere, Josh Applebaum's head just exploded. 😅

[jnava]

Vsin & action network punching the air right now

[JimD-yw]

I have a simple example, McNeese opened at -3.5 Sunday line moved all the way up to -5.5 closed at -4.5, they covered by 7, I took the spread at -3 -135, I could have gotten it at -108 Sunday, is that what you mean by betting early if you can get a good number?

[jamalwells]

I am trying to get out of line movement it has caused me to loose

[bencooper]

I agree it's not just betting splits to pay attention to. I believe researching KEY injuries, betting trends, and weather are indicators to look for with betting splits. I do believe betting splits can help, but clearly as I just stated it's not betting splits alone!

[bop]

I used to do ML parlays until i realized there was no advantage to them over just betting the single games. But what about betting games on the ML? Is it typically considered a good bet? I don't hear too many pros picking the ML, especially if the odds are long

[neoxuehan]

I want to be on the same side as the sports book.

[trivu]

So the million dollar question...is it public or sharp that moved lines; also how could we tell if it's a public or sharp moved? Thanks!

[wgnwBash]

What if one website’s trends are the opposite of another in regards to public money bets

[notkevinfinnerty]

I've noticed that the total for most player props tends to increase as it gets closer to game time especially with the NFL, if you're planning on betting the under is it better to wait closer to game time, where that total will be higher? As long as the odds stay the same or are similar

[somers]

Good stuff, especially about not chasing the sharp money and betting on a worse line. But what do the trends tell us? For example, if a Home Favorite moves from -3 to -3.5, do the trends say to follow it or fade it? There must be some overall trends regardless of sharp vs square money. If a Home Dog goes from +3 to +3.5, do the trends say to follow it and take the Visitor Favorite, even at the worse line, or fade it and take the Home Dog at an even better number? I'd love to see a chart on this. Line movement - when to follow it and when to fade it, based on whether the line movement is favoring the Home Favorite or Road Favorite, or Home Dog or Road Dog. And further broken down into the most common line movements like in the examples above - Home Favorite moves from -3 to -3.5. Or Home Dog goes from +3 to +3.5. Or the -6.5s to -7s? Or -7s to -7.5s. I wonder if there are any 55-60%+ plays?

[noneofyrfckinbiz]

Rob thoughts on bookmakerreview wager percentage?

[blade]

I just read Josh Applebaum's book that said this stuff is very important to use. While i was trying to find the data (which appears to only be accessible if i pay for it), i stumbled on this video which basically shoots down the entire book lol

[IgnatiousWheatley]

this is not truth prime example tonight steelers lost to cowboys 14% pick and 86% vegas getting that money regardless. 1 buy points as well and bet 1% and if you see it going higher or lower bet more

[AAWest]

I hear this a lot, but I have never seen anyone do a linear regression to test how betting splits correlate to the outcome of the game.

[neoxuehan]

Bet earlier is blind betting before knowing the lineup.

[POOLEPARTY-ekzh]

Betting splits can be useful. Especially bigger games