The 2026 Governor Elections as of April 5th, 2025

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[highro]

Arizona is such an odd case
It’s Red-ish but still leaning purple
Katie Hobbs will probably win, she’s not loved across the state but Andy Biggs is not popular outside of the MAGA base
& there’s a lot of buyer’s remorse happening down here
It won’t be a landslide but I could see 3-5 points

[jacksonlechlak]

If Democrats choose Sherrod Brown and Republicans choose Vivek then that seat in Ohio is definitely flipping blue. Brown only lost by 3 points and is still really popular in the state.

[sunsetclub]

I hope Kim Reynolds gets voted out. She's nothing but Trump's lapdog, and doesn't do anything for Iowa

[birkkkkk]

As an Ohio citizen, I'm really interested in the race and how close the margins may get. So far, with Amy Acton being the only candidate on the dem side-- I think Vivek would win. As you said and I agree with, Brown would be a much stronger candidate but despite who it is they need to start their campaign now!

[Idevaughan]

Texas needs to get rid of governor Hot wheels

[jacobgorokhovsky]

Can you please do a video like this on the 2026 house elections? I know you've previously said that you don't do house elections, but I honestly don't know where to get agrigated analysis like this for the house. If anyone knows please tell me. 🙏

[AstroAvenger]

Lombardo in Nevada is gonna hold on imo, he's not polarizing and not disliked.

[tylerhackner]

I think ga could flip with the right candidate

[aggada]

The tariffs could cause the Republicans a lot of problems.

[rathersane]

New Mexico deserved more than just a passing mention, seeing as Deb Haaland is already running.

[mc.maxalot]

No matter who is elected in Kansas, we can defiantly say. They will do better than Brownback

[agermandown]

Tim ryan would be good choice for ohio too

[The-Best-Smith]

I think that Oregon would be closer to a likely margin, even if there isn’t a third party campaign this time.

[svenrio]

Nevada is going to be EXTREMELY close regardless. That's one race to watch out for

[wesleymiles]

South Carolina has a good chance at being likely it tends to shift pretty close to the nation

[WPPW]

Gwen Graham is the best candidate for the democrats in Florida, she has great name id, and she’s known a lot in the panhandle and north Florida. If not her then Jason Pizzo.

[AngelinaColonNicole]

I'm retiring this year, earning $85k biweekly. This video resonates with my life in 2023, and you've inspired me in countless ways!

[YungToasty]

I agree with most of this. I would probably move Iowa down to likely. Since Kemp can't run for re-election, I think Democrats will ever so narrowly flip Georgia. I think Hobbs holds on. I do find your characterization of Nevada rather questionable. Lombardo is popular in Nevada and ousting a popular incumbent governor is very difficult if not virtually impossible. You also need to take Nevada's rightward trends into consideration, the state gets more red every election cycle

[aidanquinlan]

Kim Reynolds just announce she won’t be running for governor of Iowa

[georgewhite]

Michigan needs a lot more analysis than you provided. Detroit's mayor is running as an independent, the lt governor is running for democrats and republicans haven't had as significant of candidates but the independent run could really fuck up the dems