April 7th, 2025 S&P Price Targets Are Wrong: Here's Why

Live investing strategy and analysis of upcoming catalysts discussing actionable stock and options trade ideas, with interactive Q & A.

#optionstrading #investing #stockmarket #stocks

Amazon Link to The Options Edge:

00:00 Preroll
02:51 Intro
15:01 S&P price targets
25:01 Viewer Question: Do you know how S&P EPS estimate ranges have changed for 2025? Are we now looking at 250-260? maybe lower? Putting that together with a PE multiple like 17-19 can help forecast new S&P price range.
28:10 Viewer Question: Good morning Mike! Happy to be with you again. I survived the earthquake; my history of living in California helped a bit.
29:20 Viewer Question: Yes, I trade 0 DTE in QQQ and SPY everyday
31:52 Viewer Question: SPX also has better tax treatment
32:33 Viewer Question: The Kelly formula was an attempt to beat the house while gambling on blackjack
33:53 Viewer Question: I was just thinking that it might make sense to be long 5-20 yr US bonds but they really didn't cooperate today. Just an aberration? Investors were selling US stocks and bonds today!
36:18 Viewer Question: I of II. Last Wed, you talked about Time arbitrage. Trade as if you’re long gamma day-to-day and short gamma week to week. Does it mean go long options intraday, or intraweek, and short weekly options
44:11 Viewer Question: Tariffs can crush operating margins
44:37 Viewer Question: This is what you get when you have an admin that asks Chat GPT (AI) to flesh out their strategies and produce deliverables
45:00 Viewer Question: Be honest, how did a person with your wealth of knowledge do during 2025? Curious what your strategies were, and what type of things you're putting on.
48:06 Viewer Question: $PFE raise $3.24 Billion more in cash by selling shares in another company stock and 6 insiders bought at $25.35 last week with a .43 dividend each quarter

[GopalaKrishna-rupt]

Mike, Thank you very much for explaining the risk based on the amount bet on options. I think it makes sense on any options not only 0 DTE. Your visual explanation is a great reminder to be aware of the risk.

[Contoocook]

Perhaps you could mention some of the names you think may be reaching attractive levels after these declines?

[outerwestside]

Is this a good environment for selling covered calls?

[MeShoj]

Thanks for the great video, Mike! What strategies would you recommend for trading 0DTE SPX options, especially in different market conditions?