Expert on Iran Reveals Scenarios of an Israel-Iran War - Saeed Ghasseminejad

In this episode, Saeed Ghasseminejad, senior advisor at FDD specializing in Iran’s economy, sanctions, and illicit finance, joins us to discuss the escalating tensions between Israel and Iran. We dive into the possible military scenarios for an Israel-Iran war, Iran's missile capabilities, and Israel’s response strategies. Dr. Ghasseminejad also shares insights on how these conflicts could influence U.S. elections and why true peace in the region may depend on the fall of the current Iranian regime.

Dr. Saeed Ghasseminejad is a senior Iran and financial economics advisor at FDD specializing in Iran’s economy and financial markets, sanctions and illicit finance.

Highlights
00:00 Introduction and Episode Preview
07:32 Israel’s retaliation to Iran’s missile attack
16:00 Iran’s capacity to engage Israel
25:20 U.S. perspective as a global superpower
31:00 Israel-Iran conflict’s impact on U.S. election
51:44 Peace depends on regime’s fall

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[throughconversations]

Hello, brilliant people! Thank you for tuning in. If you found the episode insightful, consider subscribing and sharing it with a loved one.

Below are the highlights from the episode:
00:00 Introduction and Episode Preview
07:32 Israel’s retaliation to Iran’s missile attack
16:00 Iran’s capacity to engage Israel
25:20 U.S. perspective as a global superpower
31:00 Israel-Iran conflict’s impact on U.S. election
51:44 Peace depends on regime’s fall

[ethelfruge]

Saeed really understands what needs to be done. Thank you for having him on your program. Praying for israel.

[LightinGoschen]

Iran regime has to go, even Iranians has been in uprising for years now, is time to change the CALCULUS

[noway]

Brilliant. i was in Iran just before the Sha left. what a shame.

[robertoeliascalles]

Excellent! Saeed's perspective is very interesting and clear.

[zippytunos]

excellent interview with a very informative guest.

[Ir-ofzn]

Excellent speaker...explains things so well...want to hear from him again...

[makevet]

You bring very interesting interviewees who provide real insight instead of just repeating the news. 👏

[neuronwave]

Brilliant thoughtful conversation. Thank you so much for sharing your views Saeed. Love the work of the FDD.

[lisawise]

I'm glad you had it mine this man is very intelligent, informative and enlightened.

[arimoff]

Last oct 7th iran would never imagine how exposed it would become just one year later. G-d of Avraham is great.

[warralvan]

Israel won’t use it the nuclear bomb. It is much more mature than what the muslim world thinks

[moshezorea]

a good rtional and informed talk
thanks

[bearowen]

In the Iran-Russia military cooperation sphere, I think you are mistaken about it strengthening Iran. Iran has been manufacturing and shipping drones, cruise missiles, and ballistic missiles to Russia for use against Ukraine. So, Iran has been a net exporter of offensive military materiel to Russia for the past two years of its military operation against Ukraine. There are reliable media reports in the past few days that Iran has recently cancelled its offensive military exports to Russia, incidentally as have Turkey and North Korea. On the other hand, Russia had been supplying defensive antiaircraft missile systems such as the famous S-300 and -400 surface to air missile systems (SAMs) to Iran. A few years ago, Turkey notoriously surprised NATO's leadership by purchasing Russian S-400s instead of the NATO-standard American-made Patriot SAM systems. Ironically, it has been reported by Western defense media that Turkey has found the S-400s to be unreliable and ineffective, and has sidelined them to "mothballed" status. I bring this up because Iran relies heavily upon this S-400 antiaircraft system to protect its nuclear weapons facilities, ballistic missile launching pads, and its only major oil transshipment port on Kharg Island, making them all that much more vulnerable to an Israeli air campaign than previously thought.

S// United States Naval War College Graduate (Ret) 🐻🇺🇲

[ligaya.concepcion]

Praying for Israel and its people 🙏 and innocent victims 🙏

[bearowen]

Of the three potential regional hegemons mentioned in the discussion which might threaten the United States' uncertain leadership role in the Middle East, Russia, China, and Iran, the news is relatively good.

Russia, for obvious reasons, has its hands full in Ukraine, and has revealed itself to be much less of a military powerhouse than previously thought. Comparitively tiny Ukraine has fought the formerly vaunted Russian military to a standstill, albeit with substantial military and economic aid from the US and its other Western allies. Similarly, Iran has been exposed as a paper tiger by its inability to successfully attack a diminutive Israel with massive waves of missiles and drones. It has no air force to speak of, and Its navy is a bad joke. China's military is growing exponentially, but it has only been battle tested in regional border skirmishes a few times since the Korean war ended six decades ago. China has made overtures to gain economic influence in the Middle East, but it's doubtful that it sees itself as taking a greatly risky strategic role in the region. Its only real national interest in the region is to ensure a reliable flow of crude oil to slake its enormous industrial economy's energy thirst. China has plenty on its plate to keep itself busy in the Western Pacific. I seriously doubt that China wants to get itself directly embroiled any time soon in the messy geopolitical turmoil of the Middle East!

[johnmcfarland]

Iran already has the the nukes they're just not saying it

[MaliWhitten]

The interviewer is Mai, a little slow, but well meaning

[payambagheri]

I could not understand any thing …. Please add subtitles Saeed.

[bearowen]

Whose bust is visible in Saeed's background near his right shoulder?