RUSSIA Faces Infrastructure Disaster as Key Network Suppliers Exited at end of December

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RUSSIA Faces Cell Phone Infrastructure Disaster as Key Suppliers Exited at end of December. The Russian Economy, like most other developed economies, is now highly dependent upon mobile communications and the future disruption will throw the Russian Economy into Chaos.

For specific details please check out the CHAPTER list below.

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Chapters:
0:00 Intro
1:52 INFRASTRUCTURE
6:23 USAGE
7:05 MOBILE ECONOMY
9:42 E-COMMERCE
10:47 YOUTUBE
11:46 SUMMARY & CONCLUSION

#UKRAINE
#RUSSIA
#GLOBALFINANCIALCRISIS
#RUBLE
#SWIFT
#RECESSION
#CHINA
#USA
#NATO
#WW3
#WORLDWAR3

[francoispapadakis]

Joe, please block those crypto promoting bots:

Open YouTube Studio.
From the left, click Settings. Community.
Under the "Automated Filters" tab, scroll to "Blocked words."
Add words (like and phrases separated by commas.
Select SAVE.

Keep your useful video's coming!

[maxqubit]

I see a lot of ppl casually talking about how Russia will find a 'workaround' ... Sure, you can workaround a problem. But a workaround is suboptimal. Say the workaround has 90% efficiency. Seems quite good ... think again. If you do 5 years of 90% that is 0.9^5=0.6 ... so after 5 years you are at 60%. 10 years of 90% will result in 35%(!) And that is with 90% efficiency. The numbers become brutal when the efficiency drops to 80% or less. Workarounds in the long run are devastating. Don't look at the day to day numbers. Just saying.

[mapryan]

We should also consider the IT security impacts of what’s happening. These changes will make the Russian networks and IT systems extremely vulnerable to hackers and ransomware going forwards.

[EnriquePerezBarahona]

As a techie in this field, I can tell you it’s not the equipment but the software patches. There are thousands a year. And you need Western quality cybersecurity, which thanks to Russia had to be the most advanced, to really protect your digital assets.

[DEFENDER-lxhs]

Whatever works at disabling Mordor, is a good thing.

[anon....]

My new hobby is to go onto all finance related videos and report all of those Amazon Token whatever scams, I may not be able to produce high quality content like Joe but at least this way I am doing my part in keeping comments section scammer free, Thanks for your videos Joe!

[alarsonious]

I always love when Joe is like "Welcome to Joe Blogs", *smiles* then totally destroys an economy. Thanks Joe...

[YT]

Never gonna get tired of that disorienting mixture of disastrous news delivered with an infectious smile. (;

[daveskix]

As a former Nokia 4G baseband developer these software patches and updates are constant and involve the ever changing communications standards and the introduction of new phones themselves. We had, especially when iPhone came out with huge numbers of bug reports and software tweaks to get the phones operating reliably. It is difficult to see how Russia can long maintain this going forward even if they had access to the git repositories and could make patches. They have no ability to do that. There is plenty of communication between phone vendors and infrastructure vendors to get support for each phone. Perhaps they should try to stockpile enough 2022 Era mobile phones to last through 2035.

[rhbrandon]

Thanks! Really appreciate your insights and the hard work you put in.

[BradPrichard]

I guess a lot of this depends on taking Huawei's word. They're kind of notorious for violating sanctions, and I don't really believe them.

[barryhamm]

Anything that weakens Russia's ability to promote terrorism is a very good thing

[curiosity]

New and different, your nailed it on this one Joe. No rehash just Quality reporting. More updates and less rehash would be welcome. Thanks.

[mariob]

Hi Joe, as a former strategist in telecommunications, it seems to me that your interesting analysis lacks a number of perspectives as it does not primarily cover:
1- Fixed and Mobile Operators that are the main national players that can have international connections to circumvent the restrictions of equipment supply
2- Main suppliers of the fixed part of the fixed and mobile infrastructures (such as Cisco and ZTE among many others).
3- The access of Russian operators to the secondary global market of used telecommunications equipment (keeping in mind that the telecommunications infrastructure is in a constant process of upgrading and relocating equipment, offering opportunities for a less visible sourcing). Rgds

[-PORK-CHOP-]

I don't think it will be a problem, Huawei will supply technology / service / maintenance via the black market, they have nothing to lose as they are banned in a lot of western countries anyway, so they will step up their presence in Russia, just another part of China's big picture of taking ownership of Russia.

[sebastienboisvert]

This remind me of an old 1980s joke where Soviets citizens have to line up to shop in near empty stores. If Putin wanted the former glory of the Soviet Union he is right on track to achieve the backward move....

[maritaschweizer]

The central Bank of Russia wrote that Russa had a deficit of 7.1% in the 4. Quartier of 2022. It means even the sanctions could be sourounded they have not enough money for anything which is not directly relevant for the war.

[krissteel]

Just as someone who's qualified on a lot of the Nokia, Ericsson and Huawei gear- they basically live or die on their software updates and the equipment tends to require a small mountain of parts to keep going in the correct generations of gear as the vast amounts of them are not really interchangeable. That's not including fibre and microwave systems linking everything else together which are highly specialised and can be extremely expensive depending on the provider. The best fibre gear typically comes out of the USA and I can't imagine someone like Ciena bucking sanctions for Russia and for all intents and purposes in line with Russia's high tech manufacturing, it may as well be made out of a pinch of unicorn shit and space magic- it's not going to be replicated easily
There isn't typically large amounts of stuff on the market 2nd hand either.
Vast majority of it is supplied and refurbished by the provider so it just doesn't end up on any kind of open market unless you've managed to scoop up a whole network's worth of gear someone is offloading, in which case you're more or less on your own. It can be done, I had two networks that were essentially 'orphaned' by the equipment provider, but it was really high end US and Japanese equipment that was unusually good in terms of reliability. This is even before we start poking the back end of exchanges which have all the switch gear and gateways made by people who Russia would not consider 'friendly' to do business with.

Yeah, it doesn't bode well and I was wondering if this was going come into the sphere of sanctions

[tomschmidt]

As a geezer geek the improvement in technology over the last few decades has been amazing. Having said that I'm surprised at the amount of cell phone web traffic. Personally I like have a big desktop screen and find navigating a tiny cell phone screens annoying.

But back on topic I agree with Joe's analysis the withdrawal of cellular technology players is going to have a huge impact on the Russian economy. I'm surprised the Chinese company Huawei is also withdrawing since the US (not sure about the EU and UK) have banned them as a security risk. China seems to be treading carefully relative the the Russian debacle.

[liberty_and_justice]

Thanks! Very insightful. Infrastructure is critical for all countries. The more so for such a behemoth as Russia.