Have We Lost the Red Sea? | What Should be the US Strategy Against the Houthis?

Have We Lost the Red Sea

What's Going on With Shipping?
April 25, 2024

#houthi #redsea #shipping #supplychain

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USNI News Timeline: Conflict in the Red Sea

Iranian Ship Linked to Houthi Attacks Heads Home Amid Tensions

Shipping hits out at scant coverage of hijacked crews

Shipping Industry Issues Plea to UN to Protect Maritime Security and Seafarers

ADDRESS OF THE SECRETARY-GENERAL AT THE OPENING OF THE 111TH SESSION OF THE LEGAL COMMITTEE, 22 to 26 April 2024

Merchant Ships in War Zones | Chief MAKOi Seaman Vlog

MSCI Advisory 2024-006-Southern Red Sea, Bab el Mandeb Strait, Gulf of Aden, Indian Ocean, Somali Basin, Arabian Sea, Gulf of Oman, Strait of Hormuz, and Persian Gulf-Threats to Commercial Vessels

IMF Portwatch

EUNAVFOR MARITIME SECURITY THREAT - RED SEA

No evidence more Chinese or Russian ships transiting Bab el Mandeb

Marine Traffic

[BillyLapTop]

The cash flow hit to Egypt for less use of the canal must be tremendous. It has to put a serious strain on their economy.

[mikecohen]

Strategically the Houthis have a great advantage, they sit on an unsinkable aircraft carrier, and can fire at will on anything passing their way, and they have expanded their range well into the Indian Ocean, this was an extremely stupid fight to get into, because of the history of the region the Houthis are pretty much immune from the normal reprisals the west has used to beat down its opponents. To put it simply expending more wealth trying to bring the Houthis heal ain’t worth the gun powder, or the lives it would take.

[AllNighterHeider]

It's in the numbers. As more ships divert, those that dont divert become more highlighted. There's safety in numbers and conversely more risk with fewer ships. Either way, costs go up.
Thanks Sal

[RobDeHaven]

You would think Egypt would have an incentive to help solve this problem so they get the fees from the transit of the ships through the Suez Canal. As for what the US can do, we clearly don't have the warship resources to provide escorts to defend all shipping in the region so that leaves only 2 other options. Do nothing and let the ships go around Africa, or go after the Houthis and their supply chain to prevent this from happening in the future. The conflict in Gaza and Israel will likely play out for months or years to come so some hard decisions will need to be made.

[mackfisher]

Sol, thank you American merchant Marine insights and how it's affected by national and international actions. I particularly appreciate your calling it as you see it and not allowing politics to enter your viewpoints.

[jongmans]

It will be difficult in going around the Cape in winter, that's when the problem will come to a head.

[lukenodag]

Also the US Navy helped enforce a blockade on Yemen during the Saudi invasion. So pleading about keeping sea lanes open probably rings pretty hollow in Yemen.

[fubarbrandon]

One of a kind information...Thanks Sal.

[GoodAfternoonDave]

If you can imagine the Houthi and Iranians policing the waters off the Florida coast, you'll understand why they're so motivated to stop you.

[jeebusk]

even if every "missile" is shot down...
the real question is what's the cost for the USN, Indian Navy, etc.

[Lakridza]

I am so thrilled to have spotted you on Australian news here in Melbourne lately. Comforting to know that they are finally bringing on the real experts! #DrSal #whatsgoingonwithshipping #whattheship

[phillipparker]

Dude your channel is so on-point! You, as its creator and deliverer of this information have been awesome from the beginning!!! Really enjoy your personality and natural ability to bring complex info in a very understandable way! i like seeing your posts come up in my alerts. First one I go to. Thank you

[louisgiokas]

The US has officially stopped providing worldwide protection for shipping on the high seas. The US Navy is not configured for that task. To do that would take ten times the number of destroyers that we currently have. The US Navy is configured for power projection. Period. Sal, you should know that.

The US populace is no longer interested in being the world's policeman. The last US president who even wanted to have the discussion about world governance and security was George H. W. Bush. He was our last president who had the experience, knowledge and interest to actually deal with international issues. He was voted out of office. The presidents we have had since have been progressively more populist. Even Bush's son, George W. Bush, ran on a platform of reduced international involvement and an end to "nation building". Then 9/11 happened. The GWT was a detour, not a change in direction.

It costs a lot of money to patrol the oceans. Unless the US can tax other nations to pay for it, that burden falls squarely in the shoulders of the US taxpayer. Guess what? That is not going to happen, nor should it.

The world is changing. The dynamics for the US have changed. This is especially true of oil. The future will be very different. I am afraid that many people, especially those associated with diplomacy and the military, do not see that. They want to keep things the same. That is not going to happen.

[HarryWHill-GA]

Sal, I know it was a slip of the tongue but USS Florida (SSGN-728) no longer carries ballistic missiles. It is now a guided missile submarine. USS Florida is home ported at Naval Submarine Base Kings Bay here in beautiful Saint Marys, GA.
Keep up the good work.

[brandistein]

My son is on IKE & I watch your channel to try to piece together the details of what they’re doing there- even though knowing the details doesn’t make sense as to why in the world they are there- it still helps to know. Thank you for taking the time to make these videos, they are much appreciated. ⚓️🙏🏼⚓️❤️

[NewGoldStandard]

This channel is easily the best on this topic. Thank you very much, I'm always excited to see a new post.

[Gi-Home]

The Red Sea is a trap that is best avoided, this project is a money pit. Absolutely great information from this episode, great work.

[FeeNixBeech]

Asymmetric Warfare is a long game. "Winning" is a misleading term. The Taliban lost almost every battle they fought.

Until the last one.

[BrianWhite-eg]

Thankyou for your content and importantly, being easy to listen to.

[Jezebels_Dad]

Thank you for your work, Sal, especially the recent Key Bridge data. This is a great source of what is happening from a very interesting perspective. It might be interesting to spend a moment to apprise some of us who don't know what the costs are in say using 2 Moran tugs to escort a ship through the temporary channel. What a diver makes in a day, what...
so many things. I'm really enjoying your work.