Cem Karsan: What’s Really Driving This Market Boom?

Timestamps:
00:00 - Like & Subscribe Reminder
00:38 - Introduction: Cem Karsan Returns
01:15 - Post-Election Market Dynamics
02:21 - Structural Market Flows Explained
04:01 - The Role of Time, Volatility & Delta Effects
05:06 - Understanding Vanna, Charm, and Gamma
07:24 - The Insurance Trade in Markets
08:33 - Simplifying Market Structure Dynamics
10:20 - Carry Trades and Market Behavior
11:55 - Seasonality and Structural Flows in Markets
14:04 - The Long Bias of Markets Explained
16:32 - Convexity and Tail Risk
18:16 - The World’s Biggest Carry Trade
19:54 - Predicting Market Peaks and Volatility
22:26 - Historical Market Volatility Trends
24:17 - Dispersion Effects on Market Constituents
27:11 - Anticipating a Blowoff Top in 2024
29:19 - Structural Inflation and Market Trends
31:34 - Election Years and Market Returns
34:43 - Populism and Its Market Implications
37:07 - The Impact of 40 Years of Monetary Policy
45:43 - Populism’s Role in Global Markets
49:39 - The Rise of Dispersion Trades
54:36 - Final Thoughts: Navigating Market Changes

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[RealVisionPresents]

00:00 - Like & Subscribe Reminder
00:38 - Introduction: Cem Karsan Returns
01:15 - Post-Election Market Dynamics
02:21 - Structural Market Flows Explained
04:01 - The Role of Time, Volatility & Delta Effects
05:06 - Understanding Vanna, Charm, and Gamma
07:24 - The Insurance Trade in Markets
08:33 - Simplifying Market Structure Dynamics
10:20 - Carry Trades and Market Behavior
11:55 - Seasonality and Structural Flows in Markets
14:04 - The Long Bias of Markets Explained
16:32 - Convexity and Tail Risk
18:16 - The World’s Biggest Carry Trade
19:54 - Predicting Market Peaks and Volatility
22:26 - Historical Market Volatility Trends
24:17 - Dispersion Effects on Market Constituents
27:11 - Anticipating a Blowoff Top in 2024
29:19 - Structural Inflation and Market Trends
31:34 - Election Years and Market Returns
34:43 - Populism and Its Market Implications
37:07 - The Impact of 40 Years of Monetary Policy
45:43 - Populism’s Role in Global Markets
49:39 - The Rise of Dispersion Trades
54:36 - Final Thoughts: Navigating Market Changes

[simonw.]

Outstanding interview. Cem is the best

[fonzymoz]

Cem is must watch thanks for having him

[cali]

Great content. Extraordinary. Thanks!

[GenXstacker]

The world is long the market but needs downside protection. That's easy-->buy gold.

Gold is the only true downside protection. The rest of this stuff depends on the whole house of cards not collapsing.

Remember in The Big Short when they realized that if the banks went belly up their bets would not get paid off even though they were right? With gold there is no such risk.

[stevewood]

I'm at a loss as to how wall street has been allowed to rig the market to totally unwind 60 years of portfolio theory that relied on some valuation metric. Analysts don't even discount cash flow anymore, just expand the PE ratios. As an example, AAPL is 3 times larger over 4 years, while revenue is essentially flat? Nuts.

[KolinWhite-wg]

This video is very informative, but it would be better if you talked about real money. Talk about Cryptonica; it's real money every day. What you're discussing doesn't seem as cool

[mountainman]

Cem is either really, really happy, or he's really, really high! 😂